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Offshore oil ban lift

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    Posted: 14 July 2008 at 2:01pm
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/25674571/

Certainly a good thing if congress backs it.  Even if they start discussing it positively I think we'll see a drop in oil prices.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote carl_the_sniper Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 14 July 2008 at 2:05pm
I believe that having oil is not the problem, lack of refineries are the problem.

Could be wrong though.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Benjichang Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 14 July 2008 at 2:12pm
I remember seeing something like this will drop prices by $.02. In 25 years. Can't back that up right now though.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Zata Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 14 July 2008 at 2:13pm
Originally posted by Benjichang Benjichang wrote:

I remember seeing something like this will drop prices by $.02. In 25 years.


I'll be looking forward to that.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote PaiNTbALLfReNzY Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 14 July 2008 at 2:47pm
Isn't there some magic refinery China patented that converts coal into oil? It has effects on the environment, but their gas dropped to like 1.50 a gallon or something. We have more coal than China too, so imagine what out prices would be if we got some of those refineries.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dune Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 14 July 2008 at 2:47pm

Originally posted by Benjichang Benjichang wrote:

I remember seeing something like this will drop prices by $.02. In 25 years. Can't back that up right now though.

Yeah, the whole "its a supply and demand issue" goes right out the window. It is so much more complicated than just more drilling. However, it is a bank by the government that the public is stupid enough to believe it would be good.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote blackdog144 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 14 July 2008 at 2:51pm
either way, i think we need to start drilling offshore...who knows what would happen to prices.



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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dune Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 14 July 2008 at 2:52pm

Originally posted by blackdog144 blackdog144 wrote:

either way, i think we need to start drilling offshore...who knows what would happen to prices.

The analysts have a pretty good guess. Which is why they say we won't see a price drop because of it. However, it works to increase our dependence on oil. Maybe not foreign oil, but still oil.



Edited by Dune - 14 July 2008 at 2:52pm
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote PaiNTbALLfReNzY Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 14 July 2008 at 2:59pm
Originally posted by Wikipedia Says Wikipedia Says wrote:

Coal liquefaction is one of the backstop technologies that could potentially limit escalation of oil prices and mitigate the effects of transportation energy shortage that some authors have suggested could occur under peak oil. This is contingent on liquefaction production capacity becoming large enough to satiate the very large and growing demand for petroleum. Estimates of the cost of producing liquid fuels from coal suggest that domestic U.S. production of fuel from coal becomes cost-competitive with oil priced at around 35 USD per barrel, (break-even cost). The current price of oil, as of July 11, 2008, is 145 USD per barrel. This makes coal a viable financial alternative to oil for the time being, although current production is small.


Found that, pretty interesting to think we could get oil down to $35 per barrell.

Edited by PaiNTbALLfReNzY - 14 July 2008 at 3:01pm
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote WGP guy2 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 14 July 2008 at 3:19pm
Originally posted by Dune Dune wrote:

Originally posted by Benjichang Benjichang wrote:

I remember seeing something like this will drop prices by $.02. In 25 years. Can't back that up right now though.

Yeah, the whole "its a supply and demand issue" goes right out the window. It is so much more complicated than just more drilling. However, it is a bank by the government that the public is stupid enough to believe it would be good.



Explain it then please.  I'm interested in learning more.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Da Hui Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 14 July 2008 at 3:23pm
Dune, did I misread your post or did you just say something to the effect of "supply and demand does not matter" in relation to gas prices?
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Benjichang Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 14 July 2008 at 3:25pm
I would agree that it isn't a supply and demand issue, since OPEC keeps saying that there is more than enough supply to meet current demand. But I am not learned in economics.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote jmac3 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 14 July 2008 at 3:27pm
PROFITS!
Que pasa?


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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dune Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 14 July 2008 at 3:32pm

Originally posted by Da Hui Da Hui wrote:

Dune, did I misread your post or did you just say something to the effect of "supply and demand does not matter" in relation to gas prices?

I'm not saying supply and demand have no effect. However, as demand has actually dropped in the US by 5% with no effect on oil prices (which any large country dropping demand tends to lower world prices in an international market), there is more to it. The weak dollar has brought in investors hedging their investments within oil companies, boosting prices. Speculation is also a large possibility, as claiming prices will be over a certain amount can be a self-fufilling prophecy for international markets. In addition, OPEC has their little game they like to play. Calling it supply vs. demand paints a black and white picture which it is not. Demand in China is definitely up, but drilling in the US will not produce enough barrels to drop prices by tomorrow. Like I stated, it may help to reduce our dependence on foreign oil, but will not increase supply to match domestic demand and level off or reduce our prices significantly.



Edited by Dune - 14 July 2008 at 3:33pm
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote brihard Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 14 July 2008 at 3:47pm
You guys missed Carl saying something smart. He is correct in identifying that refining capacity is part of the current fuel price crisis. All the oil in the world does you no good until it is rendered into usable distillate products.
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Yup, he actually said that.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Dune Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 14 July 2008 at 3:54pm

Originally posted by brihard brihard wrote:

You guys missed Carl saying something smart. He is correct in identifying that refining capacity is part of the current fuel price crisis. All the oil in the world does you no good until it is rendered into usable distillate products.

Definitely true. Although I definitely do not know enough about refinery capabilities and technology.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote cdacda13 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 14 July 2008 at 4:12pm
Originally posted by Dune Dune wrote:

Originally posted by Da Hui Da Hui wrote:

Dune, did I misread your post or did you just say something to the effect of "supply and demand does not matter" in relation to gas prices?

I'm not saying supply and demand have no effect. However, as demand has actually dropped in the US by 5% with no effect on oil prices (which any large country dropping demand tends to lower world prices in an international market), there is more to it. The weak dollar has brought in investors hedging their investments within oil companies, boosting prices. Speculation is also a large possibility, as claiming prices will be over a certain amount can be a self-fufilling prophecy for international markets. In addition, OPEC has their little game they like to play. Calling it supply vs. demand paints a black and white picture which it is not. Demand in China is definitely up, but drilling in the US will not produce enough barrels to drop prices by tomorrow. Like I stated, it may help to reduce our dependence on foreign oil, but will not increase supply to match domestic demand and level off or reduce our prices significantly.


Nailed it!

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Mack Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 14 July 2008 at 5:15pm
Originally posted by Dune Dune wrote:

Originally posted by brihard brihard wrote:

You guys missed Carl saying something smart. He is correct in identifying that refining capacity is part of the current fuel price crisis. All the oil in the world does you no good until it is rendered into usable distillate products.

Definitely true. Although I definitely do not know enough about refinery capabilities and technology.



The last refinery in the U.S was completed more than a quarter of a century in the past.  No new ones have come on line since then.  (No, I don't have a citation for this.  It is an obscure fact that apparently stuck in my mind from a business class.  At the time, the number was 26 years since we had a new refinery; since this was a while ago, it is probably more than that now.)
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote t_hop Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 14 July 2008 at 5:19pm
One of the biggest problems are the idiotic people that won't let us drill in places like remote Alaska or anywhere else in our direct domain. WHY? why can't we drill in these places so close to home? because it will kill a frog. And I don't have the facts down perfectly but I have heard that the oil companies are only drilling on a fraction of the land that the government has granted them to drill on. whats up with that?

Edited by t_hop - 14 July 2008 at 5:21pm
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote pntbl freak Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 14 July 2008 at 6:50pm
Oil refineries right now are running at capacity so getting more oil to them wont lower any prices. The biggest thing right now that would help lower prices would be a government cut on gas taxes. For each gallon you purchase the government takes around a $1.00 of the $4.00 you are paying.


Edited by pntbl freak - 14 July 2008 at 6:50pm
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