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Obama’s acceptance speech

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tallen702 View Drop Down
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    Posted: 28 August 2008 at 10:28pm
Well, thank god I decided to quit the drinking game by now otherwise I'd be drunk. Shot each "change" and a shot each "McCain" and I realized I'd already drunk a bunch of my Jameson.

Anyway, so far, seems like little more than the same hollow "hope and change" that he's been saying for the past year. I laughed when he started talking about how the US isn't a "Nation of whiners" when that's the way the rest of the world sees us. Honestly, cult of personality and that's about it. He's a good speaker, he toes the party line, but I still have yet to hear him tell me what he actually intends to do and how he'd do it.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote choopie911 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 28 August 2008 at 10:32pm
MOR LIEK OSAMA!, AMIRITE?>!
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote choopie911 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 28 August 2008 at 10:51pm
it's ignoranus, fool.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote White o Light Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 28 August 2008 at 11:06pm
I teard up, for real.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote mbro Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 28 August 2008 at 11:20pm
Originally posted by tallen702 tallen702 wrote:

but I still have yet to hear him tell me what he actually intends to do and how he'd do it.
He has the most in depth policy papers on his website that I've ever seen in a campaign. I can't say the same for Mc Cain's site, the long primary helped Obama to have time to create all the nuances.

The change message doesn't just mean change for the sake of change, more of finding common ground between the two ideological divides in congress to all government to effectively meet the needs of the people.

He outlined this later in his speech which I thought was the best part of the speech.

Don't blame me, I voted for Kodos.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote mbro Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 28 August 2008 at 11:22pm
Also, Al Gore's line about McCain=Bush "I believe in recycling but this is ridiculous."

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote choopie911 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 28 August 2008 at 11:23pm
Originally posted by mbro mbro wrote:

Originally posted by tallen702 tallen702 wrote:

but I still have yet to hear him tell me what he actually intends to do and how he'd do it.
He has the most in depth policy papers on his website that I've ever seen in a campaign. I can't say the same for Mc Cain's site, the long primary helped Obama to have time to create all the nuances.

The change message doesn't just mean change for the sake of change, more of finding common ground between the two ideological divides in congress to all government to effectively meet the needs of the people.

He outlined this later in his speech which I thought was the best part of the speech.


Theres his problem, expecting people to read.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote mbro Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 28 August 2008 at 11:29pm
Originally posted by choopie911 choopie911 wrote:

Originally posted by mbro mbro wrote:

Originally posted by tallen702 tallen702 wrote:

but I still have yet to hear him tell me what he actually intends to do and how he'd do it.
He has the most in depth policy papers on his website that I've ever seen in a campaign. I can't say the same for Mc Cain's site, the long primary helped Obama to have time to create all the nuances.

The change message doesn't just mean change for the sake of change, more of finding common ground between the two ideological divides in congress to all government to effectively meet the needs of the people.

He outlined this later in his speech which I thought was the best part of the speech.


Theres his problem, expecting people to read.
Truth.

Also, Richardson's zinger "Mc Cain may pay hundreds of thousands of dollars for his shoes but we're the ones who'll pay for his flip flops."


People who say they don't know what Obama is actually going to do are people who wouldn't actually vote for him anyway. At best they're people who are swayed by "attack ads"

Don't blame me, I voted for Kodos.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote tallen702 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 28 August 2008 at 11:44pm
Originally posted by choopie911 choopie911 wrote:

Originally posted by mbro mbro wrote:

Originally posted by tallen702 tallen702 wrote:

but I still have yet to hear him tell me what he actually intends to do and how he'd do it.
He has the most in depth policy papers on his website that I've ever seen in a campaign. I can't say the same for Mc Cain's site, the long primary helped Obama to have time to create all the nuances.

The change message doesn't just mean change for the sake of change, more of finding common ground between the two ideological divides in congress to all government to effectively meet the needs of the people.

He outlined this later in his speech which I thought was the best part of the speech.


Theres his problem, expecting people to read.


Honestly, that is his problem. He's betting on the inner-city welfare vote to put him over the top just as McCain is courting the southern-redneck-fundie vote to do the same for him. If he can't put his potential policies into words for his own speeches then how the heck does he think he's going to get it past both houses of congress, let alone inform the general public who pay more attention to 30 second sound-bites and political ads than to anything in the written form?

Honestly, I believe that both of the candidates are pure "poopy" I'd just rather have an old-fart who has shown that he can cross party lines than some personable Marxist wanna-be who thinks he's the re-incarnation of Bobby effin' Kennedy. Obama's proposed tax breaks for the "middle class" have yet to be pegged down to what he defines as the middle class. His proposal to increase the minimum wage and peg it to inflation will only continue to drive up production costs which will do more to move jobs overseas than anything in the past has. Not to mention his plan for 5 million new jobs in the "green" sector are all jobs that can easily be shipped overseas or done by illegal labor for a fraction of the cost. It's all rhetoric and pipe-dreams. I've yet to see any hard numbers on what he actually thinks he can do. That universal health-care coverage? What's that going to cost the taxpayers? Sure he's talking about giving middle-class workers $500 back every year on income taxes, but that's going to be a hell of a lot less than the gov't would need to take from you to pay for that health-care plan. Blueprints aren't built on theory or speculation, they're built on cold, hard numbers. Obama's "Blueprint for Change" is no different, without the numbers to crunch, I don't believe a word of it.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Bruce Banner Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 29 August 2008 at 12:19am

Originally posted by tallen702 tallen702 wrote:

Not to mention his plan for 5 million new jobs in the "green" sector are all jobs that can easily be shipped overseas or done by illegal labor for a fraction of the cost.

Not to get distracted by a side point, but this isn't true. 

"Green" jobs come in a couple of different main varieties, and they are mostly local either by necessity or by irreplacability.

Examples:

1.  Wind turbine manufacturing.  Shipping costs are HUGE for turbine nacelles, blades, and towers.  Towers are always built in-country, but they are easy to make.  Blades and nacelles are more complicated, but if there is enough of a local market the manufacturers will build local factories.  Already most of the major manufacturers have plants in the US.  With aggressive pro-wind policies, there will be many more such plants, which will employ Americans in non-outsourceable manufacturing jobs.  Michigan could be put back to work.

2.  Photovoltaic solar R&D.  This is work that theoretically could be done anywhere, but as a practical matter is done where there is the biggest concentration of eggheads.  Bay Area, Pacific Northwest, Boston, Austin, North Carolina - that is where these jobs are now, and that is where these jobs will stay, with policies that discourage brain drain.

3.  Photovoltaic rooftop installation.  This is by definition local.  Millions of hours of work for certified electricians and roofers.

4.  Solar thermal manufacturing.  Solar thermal facilities require lots and lots of mirrors and vacuum tubes, which are very expensive to pack and ship.  Local manufacturing is therefore much preferred over delivery from Germany and Israel.  The right policies would encourage this type of facility and therefore local manufacturing.

5.  Geothermal construction.  With the right policies, more geothermal facilities would get built.  By definition, these construction jobs are local.

6.  LEED construction and retrofits.  Again, local construction jobs.  Now also with local architecture.

The list goes on, but the bottom line is that these are mostly infrastructure jobs, and infrastructure generally cannot be outsourced, because it is, well, "infra."

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote SSOK Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 29 August 2008 at 12:25am

Tallen supports McCain. Obama MUST know nothing!

Edit: Tallen '12?

 

 



Edited by SSOK - 29 August 2008 at 12:26am
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It's not too late. Tallen '08!
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Still better than McCain.

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Will hope set you free?




Big gubment, big dreams and big changes....mmmm mmmm yum yum get me sum :(
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote AfricanAmerican Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 29 August 2008 at 1:28am
I enjoyed the speech
Do it again, and you're banned.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote tallen702 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 29 August 2008 at 1:57am
Originally posted by Bruce Banner Bruce Banner wrote:

Originally posted by tallen702 tallen702 wrote:

Not to mention his plan for 5 million new jobs in the "green" sector are all jobs that can easily be shipped overseas or done by illegal labor for a fraction of the cost.


Not to get distracted by a side point, but this isn't true. 


"Green" jobs come in a couple of different main varieties, and they are mostly local either by necessity or by irreplacability.


Examples:


1.  Wind turbine manufacturing.  Shipping costs are HUGE for turbine nacelles, blades, and towers.  Towers are always built in-country, but they are easy to make.  Blades and nacelles are more complicated, but if there is enough of a local market the manufacturers will build local factories.  Already most of the major manufacturers have plants in the US.  With aggressive pro-wind policies, there will be many more such plants, which will employ Americans in non-outsourceable manufacturing jobs.  Michigan could be put back to work.


Yet the viability of wind-power as more than just a minor contribution to our electric grid is next to nil. There are very few places in the US where they are viable to place and then you get into the fact that many of those places are wildlife and nature preserves. Solar is far more practical, especially when used in conjunction with a hydrogen-separation battery for night-time. Oh, and you mean to tell me that it's cheaper to build turbine blades, nacelles and tower segments here than to build them in say, Vietnam and ship them over? If that's the case, then our Ford and GM workers won't need new jobs because it'll be cheaper to build automobiles here than to build them in china and ship them right?

Quote

2.  Photovoltaic solar R&D.  This is work that theoretically could be done anywhere, but as a practical matter is done where there is the biggest concentration of eggheads.  Bay Area, Pacific Northwest, Boston, Austin, North Carolina - that is where these jobs are now, and that is where these jobs will stay, with policies that discourage brain drain.



Yes, R&D will always stay where the intelligent folk live and work. However, development is such a small fraction of an entire industry that the pittance of jobs the R&D sector creates is just a drop in the bucket. Manufacture of photovoltaic equipment is already on the rise in China and will move to Vietnam before the decade is out.
Quote

3.  Photovoltaic rooftop installation.  This is by definition local.  Millions of hours of work for certified electricians and roofers.


Yeah, because those same roofers aren't short on jobs right now... especially when Juan from El Salvador will do the installation for half the price. Again, as the technology progresses with photovoltaic systems, they'll essentially become "plug-and-play" to the point where you'll only need the electrician to set up the collection and grid systems for the house and our boy Juan will be more than happy to just plug the panels right in for way less than Joe American will be willing to work for.

Quote

4.  Solar thermal manufacturing.  Solar thermal facilities require lots and lots of mirrors and vacuum tubes, which are very expensive to pack and ship.  Local manufacturing is therefore much preferred over delivery from Germany and Israel.  The right policies would encourage this type of facility and therefore local manufacturing.



It is also one of the least efficient "green" energy production methods out there. The energy output of even the latest solar-thermal plants pale to that of turbine farms, and turbines aren't even as good as photovoltaic or fuel cell, and none of them are as efficient as nuclear. I seriously doubt you'll see much solar-thermal outside of Austrailia and the Mid-East.

Quote

5.  Geothermal construction.  With the right policies, more geothermal facilities would get built.  By definition, these construction jobs are local.



The question is, will Geothermal get the nod? I'm thinking no due to the inefficiency of heat-transfer engines that rely on geothermal power. The 15 separate geo-plants that are located in California near the Salton Sea combined only produce 570MW. In comparison, one BR-600 Breeder Reactor (which uses almost 100% of it's nuclear fuel, all but eliminating waste) puts out MORE power with less cost and far less land consumption. Also, there are specific environmental concerns when using geothermal power, especially when condensed steam is injected back into the ground to allow the cycle to continue. Geothermal liquids are also extremely corrosive which mean higher upkeep costs than other alternatives. Not to mention the fact that spots where geothermal plants can be built eventually cool off. Several plants in Iceland have seen dramatic reductions is their output over the past decade due to shifts in the earth's mantle. Again, green, but not yet viable on the scale which you would need to make those jobs permanent.
Quote

6.  LEED construction and retrofits.  Again, local construction jobs.  Now also with local architecture.



I'll give you a little on the LEED part. A lot of buildings will need to be retrofitted and that will take certified contractors and architects to do that job. However, the increase in jobs will again be finite. As older buildings come down, new buildings will go up that are "green" from the start. Most current architects and engineers are already being trained in "green" building (my father for example was re-trained over 5 years ago and has produced a volume of green initiative buildings) and those who are exiting college will already be trained as well. So while it expands somewhat on a current job market, it doesn't do much to create that many NEW jobs.

Sorry to pick at your points, but this has been what I've said since day one.

You of all people should see that these jobs aren't really the "infrastructure" that you say they are. Capitalism always wins out in the end. It will be cheaper to produce the goods that need to be produced in China or Vietnam (which is rapidly taking jobs from the Chinese) and ship them here. Once the Chinese get their crash-test ratings up to snuff, Ford and GM will be produced over there and shipped over here. Fuel costs may have gone up, but the cost-per-item in shipping when using the massive container vessels we do these days is far less than prohibitive.

The days of American manufacturing might are done and dusted. If we can't get it cheap from over seas, or it requires hands on the ground here, we get illegal labor to do it for cheaper.

Edited by tallen702 - 29 August 2008 at 2:03am
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote BARREL BREAK Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 29 August 2008 at 2:12am
Originally posted by tallen702 tallen702 wrote:

personable Marxist wanna-be
Aaaand that's where I stopped reading.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote tallen702 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 29 August 2008 at 2:25am
Originally posted by BARREL BREAK BARREL BREAK wrote:

Originally posted by tallen702 tallen702 wrote:

personable Marxist wanna-be
Aaaand that's where I stopped reading.


Because you realized that class warfare was the cornerstone of Marxism? Because that's what Barak Obama is preaching to the poor of the nation. It's the whole "The rich should pay more in taxes so you don't have to.", "Everyone should have health-care despite their own bad decisions which has left them with none!", and "I'm going to generate a better economy by taxing the companies that do business well enough that they can turn record profits" that smacks so much of our boys Marx and Lenin.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Bruce Banner Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 29 August 2008 at 10:28am

Hate to say it, tallen, but you are pretty wrong on most of this...

Originally posted by tallen702 tallen702 wrote:

Originally posted by Bruce Banner Bruce Banner wrote:

1.  Wind turbine manufacturing. 

Yet the viability of wind-power as more than just a minor contribution to our electric grid is next to nil. There are very few places in the US where they are viable to place and then you get into the fact that many of those places are wildlife and nature preserves.

Not true at all.

The main current growth in US wind is in the farm-belt.  Wind turbines work very, very well with farms.  Siting is relatively easy, few environmental constraints, and certainly no nature preserves.  The main current problem is transmission, and that is one of the things that would have to get addressed to boost wind generation, but wind could easily account for 20% of total generation within a decade or two.

And that's just on-shore.  Offshore wind has just the same potential.  Here there are significant permitting hurdles, but that is exactly where government comes in.  With the right leadership in state and local leadership, there could be major development on both coasts and the Great Lakes.  And again, the factories will be built near the demand.

The industry certainly thinks so - this is why GE has made investments in wind, and most of the major foreign manufacturers now have facilities in the US, and more are being built.  This is is not pie in the sky future - this is NOW.  It's just a matter of whether we make the decisions to foster continued demand.  We have just scraped the surface of potential for wind energy in this country.

Quote Solar is far more practical, especially when used in conjunction with a hydrogen-separation battery for night-time.

I am a big fan of solar, and storage is an important issue.  But storage is actually more of a concern for wind than solar, since wind tends to be counter-peak.  And hydrogen batteries are not here yet.  Soon, maybe, but not yet.

Quote Oh, and you mean to tell me that it's cheaper to build turbine blades, nacelles and tower segments here than to build them in say, Vietnam and ship them over? If that's the case, then our Ford and GM workers won't need new jobs because it'll be cheaper to build automobiles here than to build them in china and ship them right?

Absolutely, and without a doubt.  Your car analogy fails.  Some things are easier to ship than others.  Wind turbine components do not transport cheaply.  Transportation cost can make up as much as 30-50% of total project cost for a wind project, depending on specifics.  The main reason that the foreign manufacturers are building US facilities is that GE bought Enron Wind and beefed it up.  Because of local manufacturing, GE was able to significantly undercut the foreigners, and in just a year or two GE became the market leader in the US.

And the major manufacturers DO have facilities in China.  That's where they build the turbines that they install - in China.  They certainly don't ship them here.

I can promise you this for a fact.  The wind turbine factories get built near demand.  That is true for blades and nacelles both.  Towers are built in regular steel foundries, so no special factory needed, but they are also bought from local sources.

Originally posted by tallen tallen wrote:

Originally posted by bb bb wrote:

2.  Photovoltaic solar R&D.  This is work that theoretically could be done anywhere, but as a practical matter is done where there is the biggest concentration of eggheads. 

Yes, R&D will always stay where the intelligent folk live and work. However, development is such a small fraction of an entire industry that the pittance of jobs the R&D sector creates is just a drop in the bucket.

Not true.  All of those places I just mentioned built their economies around eggheads and R&D.  And it is those exact same guys that are now doing solar PV.  Vinod Khosla, Silicon Valley entrepreneur, for instance, just started Ausra, a new PV R&D/investment company.  Again, this is not pie in the sky - this is NOW.  SunEdison, MMA Renewable Ventures, Ausra, SPP, SunPower - the list goes on.  American companies using American eggheads to develop and build projects and equipment here in the US.

Later it will be outsourced - sure.  But only when the work has become a commodity and we don't want it anyway.  The way to fight outsourcing is to do work on the cutting edge, and THIS is the cutting edge.

Organic PV research - being done in New Jersey.  Solar thermal research - done in SoCal.  Capacitor storage research - Bay Area and Boston.

Quote Manufacture of photovoltaic equipment is already on the rise in China and will move to Vietnam before the decade is out.

MANUFACTURE - yes.  Manufacture of PV cells is basically a commodity and not work we want.  Kyocera is the world-wide leader, and most of the other electronics companies make them as well.  Those are not the jobs we want.

Originally posted by tallen tallen wrote:

Originally posted by BB BB wrote:

3.  Photovoltaic rooftop installation.  This is by definition local.  Millions of hours of work for certified electricians and roofers.

Yeah, because those same roofers aren't short on jobs right now... especially when Juan from El Salvador will do the installation for half the price. Again, as the technology progresses with photovoltaic systems, they'll essentially become "plug-and-play" to the point where you'll only need the electrician to set up the collection and grid systems for the house and our boy Juan will be more than happy to just plug the panels right in for way less than Joe American will be willing to work for.

I shold have focused on the electricians rather than the roofers - these systems are almost plug and play now, but you still need a certified electrician - required by law/quasi-law in every state to qualify for state rebates or net metering.  And there aren't enough solar-qualified electricians around.

One of the things that is happening in the industry is that forward-looking investors are snapping up solar installation companies.  There has been a surge in small-medium acquisitions of this kind in the strong solar markets.  Contractors are scrambling to get their electricians trained in solar installation.

Jobs are being created for solar installation electricians RIGHT NOW.  Not pie in the sky.  And these jobs aren't going anywhere either, and they are good jobs that require skill, training, and certification.

Originally posted by tallen tallen wrote:

Originally posted by bb bb wrote:

4.  Solar thermal manufacturing. 

It is also one of the least efficient "green" energy production methods out there. The energy output of even the latest solar-thermal plants pale to that of turbine farms, and turbines aren't even as good as photovoltaic or fuel cell, and none of them are as efficient as nuclear. I seriously doubt you'll see much solar-thermal outside of Austrailia and the Mid-East.

This makes no sense, and is also wrong.

The cents-per-kWh price for solar thermal is less than half that of solar PV.  That may change, but that is where it is now.  And all of the SouthWest utilities have issued RFPs over the last 2 years for additional solar thermal plants to be built.  Within five years you will see additional solar thermal in California, New Mexico, Nevada, and probably Arizona.  There are also plants under development in Spain and other parts of Europe right now, as well as Mexico.

I view solar thermal as a patch until PV becomes more price competitive, but today it is the most viable solar technology available.

Originally posted by tallen tallen wrote:

Originally posted by bb bb wrote:

5.  Geothermal construction.  With the right policies, more geothermal facilities would get built.  By definition, these construction jobs are local.

The question is, will Geothermal get the nod? I'm thinking no due to the inefficiency of heat-transfer engines that rely on geothermal power. The 15 separate geo-plants that are located in California near the Salton Sea combined only produce 570MW.

There is no "if".  There are more than a dozen new geothermal facilities in development near the Salton Sea, and several are already in construction.  Wells have been drilled.  It is for real, and it is NOW.

Originally posted by tallen tallen wrote:

In comparison, one BR-600 Breeder Reactor (which uses almost 100% of it's nuclear fuel, all but eliminating waste) puts out MORE power with less cost and far less land consumption.

Breeder reactors, on the other hand, are not now, although other nuclear technologies are perfectly fine and current.  I do support lots of more nuclear as well simply due to size, but thermodynamic efficiency is not the right question to ask.  And it is not one or the other.  Just because nuclear is "better" doesn't mean that we shouldn't use other energy sources.

Quote Also, there are specific environmental concerns when using geothermal power, especially when condensed steam is injected back into the ground to allow the cycle to continue.

That may be true for hot rock and other experimental technologies, but most current facilities are dual-loop, and the heat source is subsurface brine.  Nothing external is pumped down.  And even then this concern is vastly exaggerated.

Quote Geothermal liquids are also extremely corrosive which mean higher upkeep costs than other alternatives.

Yes, there are maintenance costs.  TANSTAAFL.  But that is just part of the equation.  Geothermal is less capital-intensive than, say, nuclear.  You look at the total result, you don't focus on one line item on the budget.

Quote Not to mention the fact that spots where geothermal plants can be built eventually cool off. Several plants in Iceland have seen dramatic reductions is their output over the past decade due to shifts in the earth's mantle. Again, green, but not yet viable on the scale which you would need to make those jobs permanent.

This is such a overblown quasi-myth.  Nothing is "permanent."  Geothermal facilities have been in continuous operation for decades.  How permanent do you want them? Yes, seismic shifts could change the output.  We'll plan for it.  And one way to plan for it is to have MORE of them, so that our geothermal portfolio is geographically diversified.

Geothermal is also NOW, and is creating jobs right NOW, and will continue to do so for years with the right policies.[/quote]

Quote You of all people should see that these jobs aren't really the "infrastructure" that you say they are.

I of all people know very well the job creation potential of renewable energy.

Waste and excess are not conservative family values
Nature is not a liberal plot
A Good Energy Plan
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