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Obama: More than one term?

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Linus View Drop Down
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    Posted: 06 August 2010 at 4:04pm
Honest question here;

Party lines aside, does anyone see Obama as a 2-term president?



I mean in just the recent months he's not only forced healthcare on a majority population that doesn't want it, but he's also fighting an immigration law that the majority DO want.


I guess the question lies in if people will remember these feelings in a couple of years.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Benjichang Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06 August 2010 at 4:08pm
Well, as my political views continue to evolve, I've decided I hate our 2 party system and as a result I think I'm done voting for good. So I can tell you he isn't getting my vote if he runs again.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote agentwhale007 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06 August 2010 at 6:02pm
Despite the massive flood of shouting and faux-outrage from the right about how everyone is outraged about Obama's outrageous policies, his popularity still sits on a pretty average line for where presidents normally are at this point in time in his presidency. 

Economy will probably be the deciding factor. If it goes up from where it is now, it'll be hard for Obama to lose a second term, I think. 

It'll also depend on who the Republicans run. If it involves Palin, then Obama's chances go way up. 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote __sneaky__ Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06 August 2010 at 6:08pm
Originally posted by agentwhale007 agentwhale007 wrote:

It'll also depend on who the Republicans run. If it involves Palin, then Obama's chances go way up. 
Sadly, I don't have enough faith in the American people to feel very confident about that.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote stratoaxe Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06 August 2010 at 6:09pm
My hope? Republicans take enough seats in November to restore balance. Then I actually hope he gets re-elected...I don't like one party controlling the whole thing.
 
Of course, if that doesn't happen, then I hope he's beaten in 2012. But I honestly don't see that happening. It takes a pretty mediocre presidency or a very vivid campaign by the opposition to interrupt a president's two term run these days.
 
I mean, Bush made it. That speaks volumes.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote tallen702 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06 August 2010 at 6:25pm
I think his chances are about 50/50 right now. The biggest issue he's going to have is voter apathy on the Democratic side of the aisle. We've got our first black president, history's been made, it's going to be tough to get the historically apathetic inner-city minority vote going now that history has happened.

As far as the Rep. Party, it's too fractured to put forth a blow-your-mind candidate right now. They need a Reagan to put up there, but they don't have one. Mitt Romney is a big no, Guilliani blew it last time to really make any kind of impact this time around, and Palin is a farking joke.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Eville Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06 August 2010 at 6:49pm
Linus, just remember that the "majority" of 1930's German's were in favor of the Nazi party. Shocked :o

From what I've seen, most presidents drop the ball during their second term, regardless of party.  Didn't he already say that he wouldn't seek reelection anyway?
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote usafpilot07 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06 August 2010 at 6:50pm
Originally posted by Benjichang Benjichang wrote:

Well, as my political views continue to evolve, I've decided I hate our 2 party system


I don't see a better option though, what would you suggest?*








* I realize this sounds snarky, but I couldn't figure a better way to phrase it. Don't take it as such.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote PAINTBALL1 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06 August 2010 at 8:06pm
Originally posted by usafpilot07 usafpilot07 wrote:


Originally posted by Benjichang Benjichang wrote:

Well, as my political views continue to evolve, I've decided I hate our 2 party system
I don't see a better option though, what would you suggest?** I realize this sounds snarky, but I couldn't figure a better way to phrase it. Don't take it as such.


It's not "technically" a two party system, but Dem/Rep are the prominent parties. When you go to vote other options are on your ballot, such as Libertarian, Green, Independent and Nade..er, I mean Independent Party. The focus is always on the big two as they have the most funding, resources and power. Not to mention a third party hasn't won a Presidential election since around 1864 (correct me if I'm wrong).

I totally agree though. The politics arn't chaging, just the person in the big house. I'm all for giving someone else a shot, my choice would put a Libertarian in there and see what happens. The majority of American vote along party lines, that's going to be a hard change to make. But unfotunately it is what it is and until enough Americans get fed up enough with the system to elect someone that hasn't goine prime time, we're stuck with it.


Edited by PAINTBALL1 - 06 August 2010 at 8:09pm
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote tallen702 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06 August 2010 at 8:48pm
Originally posted by PAINTBALL1 PAINTBALL1 wrote:

Not to mention a third party hasn't won a Presidential election since around 1864 (correct me if I'm wrong).


Actually, technically the Democratic and Republican parties of today are infact, "third parties" due to the fact that the original Republican, Democrat, and Democrat-Republican parties dissolved at one point or another in their history. Truly, the only original party that never resurrected after a period of dissolution was the Whig party.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote agentwhale007 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06 August 2010 at 9:04pm
Despite some of its flaws, I believe the two-party system is inherently good. 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote PAINTBALL1 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06 August 2010 at 9:07pm
Originally posted by tallen702 tallen702 wrote:

Originally posted by PAINTBALL1 PAINTBALL1 wrote:

Not to mention a third party hasn't won a Presidential election since around 1864 (correct me if I'm wrong).


Actually, technically the Democratic and Republican parties of today are infact, "third parties" due to the fact that the original Republican, Democrat, and Democrat-Republican parties dissolved at one point or another in their history. Truly, the only original party that never resurrected after a period of dissolution was the Whig party.


Good point, I vaguely remember that lesson in H.S.   
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote agentwhale007 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06 August 2010 at 9:10pm
Originally posted by tallen702 tallen702 wrote:


Actually, technically the Democratic and Republican parties of today are infact, "third parties" due to the fact that the original Republican, Democrat, and Democrat-Republican parties dissolved at one point or another in their history.

FALSE! 

Don't you remember the thread with FE?!? 

The political parties have NEVER altered! It's a liberal BIG EDUCATION conspiracy. 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote usafpilot07 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06 August 2010 at 10:08pm
Originally posted by PAINTBALL1 PAINTBALL1 wrote:

Originally posted by usafpilot07 usafpilot07 wrote:


Originally posted by Benjichang Benjichang wrote:

Well, as my political views continue to evolve, I've decided I hate our 2 party system
I don't see a better option though, what would you suggest?** I realize this sounds snarky, but I couldn't figure a better way to phrase it. Don't take it as such.


It's not "technically" a two party system, but Dem/Rep are the prominent parties. When you go to vote other options are on your ballot, such as Libertarian, Green, Independent and Nade..er, I mean Independent Party. The focus is always on the big two as they have the most funding, resources and power. Not to mention a third party hasn't won a Presidential election since around 1864 (correct me if I'm wrong).

I totally agree though. The politics arn't chaging, just the person in the big house. I'm all for giving someone else a shot, my choice would put a Libertarian in there and see what happens. The majority of American vote along party lines, that's going to be a hard change to make. But unfotunately it is what it is and until enough Americans get fed up enough with the system to elect someone that hasn't goine prime time, we're stuck with it.


Not what I meant.  I was saying our "Two Party System" vs Germany's Multi-Party system(just as an example.)  German politics are way worse off than ours. Hell, even Englands is screwed up big time.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote mbro Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 07 August 2010 at 12:01am
Originally posted by Linus Linus wrote:


I mean in just the recent months he's not only forced healthcare on a majority population that doesn't want it, but he's also fighting an immigration law that the majority DO want.
Well the healthcare reform was one of the main points of his platform for election, an election he one a pretty substatial majority in so initially a majority of people did want health care reform. The only problem with it was once they started the process they let the republicans control the message which turned into very negative press and lead to massive confusion about the health care bill. Death panels, rationing, manditory prostate exams for 5 year old boys by priests and what not.

Also, I don't put that much faith in polling of the majority on specific issues during a none presidential election year since it typically pulls knee jerk reaction questions rather than long thought out questions.

Originally posted by Benjichang Benjichang wrote:

Well, as my political views continue to evolve, I've decided I hate our 2 party system and as a result I think I'm done voting for good. So I can tell you he isn't getting my vote if he runs again.


The two party system forces moderation in our countries politics which is a good thing and leads to slow gradual change that is good for business rather than fast unpredictable change. Two parties make us pragmatic no matter what the far fringes of each party would have you belive. Obama is a socialist, Bush is a fascist, or more confusingly, Obama is a communist fascist.

Originally posted by agentwhale007 agentwhale007 wrote:

Economy will probably be the deciding factor. If it goes up from where it is now, it'll be hard for Obama to lose a second term, I think.
Agreed. So far Obama has been getting most of his major campaign points passed or done (except gitmo, rendition, warrentless what not, etc) At this point in Reagan's first term things looked about as good for him as they do for Obama. Reagan also had the massive outrage from the other party that Obama has. I read an interesting article comparing the two presidents at this point a few months back. It revolved around a quote from an author in the New Yorker who wrote in 1982 that she had never met a person that had voted for reagan so she doesn't see how he could ever be reelected and how the same was true for republicans in 2012 where they are in their on little bubble.
Quote It'll also depend on who the Republicans run. If it involves Palin, then Obama's chances go way up. 
Palin has been polling so terribly over the past two years that I do seriously believe she could win enough primaries to get the nomination but she could never win a general election. If she ever does win the nomination you can bet your sweet behind that the repubicans will finally switch to proportional delagets for their nomination system despite the possibility of long drawn out primaries.

Originally posted by tallen702 tallen702 wrote:

We've got our first black president, history's been made, it's going to be tough to get the historically apathetic inner-city minority vote going now that history has happened.
That's a great point. That will be a huge issue but I think "organizing for america's" grassroots machine is big enough and smoothly running enough where they should be able to overcome most of the apathy.
Quote

As far as the Rep. Party, it's too fractured to put forth a blow-your-mind candidate right now. They need a Reagan to put up there, but they don't have one. Mitt Romney is a big no, Guilliani blew it last time to really make any kind of impact this time around, and Palin is a farking joke.
I'm banking on Pawlenty. He's my favorite type of republican. He sounds honest and genuine and is will to make compramises to achieve his ultimate goals.

Really the ability to compramise is the main thing I look for in a politician regardless of party.

Originally posted by Eville Eville wrote:

 Didn't he already say that he wouldn't seek reelection anyway?
No, he said he'd rather be a great one term president than a mediocre two term.

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I say no. He made so many promises to do this and that, and people want results now. The whole instant gratification thing.
 
I know a girl that I graduated high school with and she was the biggest Obama supporter in the school. She actually understand and knew everything about the elections that year, she was quite smart. Hard to argue with because she would just shoot you down instantly.
 
Over me bringing up a point to "rub in" something over facebook, she brought up that she no longer supports him or views him in the same way.

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I dont know if this makes any sense, but ill try to explain my view of things.
 
If a person is in the position to run for the presidency and has a shot at it, they cannot be THAT bad of a leader/person. If theyve gotten that far, they must have done something right.
 
With all the checks and balances, quite a few things need to align correctly to completely screw over a country.
 
A president can only accomplish so much in one term. If theyve made it that far into politics, they most likely think similar to the majority in most ways.
 
I may be rambling....


Edited by MeanMan - 07 August 2010 at 12:25am

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Gatyr Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 07 August 2010 at 4:42am
Originally posted by stratoaxe stratoaxe wrote:

My hope? Republicans take enough seats in November to restore balance. Then I actually hope he gets re-elected...I don't like one party controlling the whole thing.

I can get behind this. It would require Obama becoming more forceful with the policies he intend to implement, but if he can do that, I think the country would be headed in a better direction than under Bush or Obama with his Democratic majority.
Originally posted by Linus Linus wrote:

I mean in just the recent months he's not only forced healthcare on a majority population that doesn't want it, but he's also fighting an immigration law that the majority DO want.

The problem with that statement is that there are conflicting results from CNN and MSNBC. Where FOX was saying a majority did not want the healthcare bill, CNN reported that a modest majority WAS in favor of it, and MSNBC reported almost the exact opposite of what FOX reported, saying somewhere around 70% of people were for it.

Point is, I don't think there has been polling done by a news agency that we can agree is reliable.

Obligatory 'go to hell Frank Luntz.'

All in all, I'm pretty confident I would be happy with Obama winning a second term, but that's obviously contingent on who his opponent is.
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Originally posted by choopie911 choopie911 wrote:

As I've always said: America, which foot do you want to shoot yourself in?


Either is good as long as it's planted on some some hippie's face.

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