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Global Warming?

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Topic: Global Warming?
Posted By: oldsoldier
Subject: Global Warming?
Date Posted: 13 July 2009 at 9:09pm
Still in NY, still waiting for two consecutive days without rain, and the possibility of temps above 72. Riding the hills in the chilly temps is not my idea of a summer day.

I think the scam is exposed.

Still bored, still fixing up the house, a lot of work repairing simple things Mom forgot. Got an X-Box360 amd Guitar Hero World Tour and Aerosmith, back to drumming as exercise.

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Replies:
Posted By: GI JOES SON
Date Posted: 13 July 2009 at 9:18pm
it didnt rain here yesterday...where in NY are you?


Posted By: choopie911
Date Posted: 13 July 2009 at 9:34pm
Wait, people are STILL stupid enough to call it global warming, and believe that's what it is?

Are you kidding me OS? How many times have we corrected you on this?


Posted By: Gatyr
Date Posted: 13 July 2009 at 9:45pm
Originally posted by oldsoldier oldsoldier wrote:

Still bored,


Troll this stuff somewhere else then. Or at least bring something new.

But for now, refute:

Quote

http://www.voxeu.org/index.php?q=node/1276 - Frank R. Lichtenberg
27 June 2009

http://www.voxeu.org/index.php?q=node/3707# - Print   http://www.voxeu.org/index.php?q=forward/3707 - Email
http://www.voxeu.org/index.php?q=node/3707#comments - Comment   http://www.voxeu.org/index.php?q=node/87 - Republish

Many healthcare policymakers and analysts are focused on controlling rising medical costs. Is attacking high-cost, low-benefit medical innovation a solution? This column estimates that medical innovation – the use of advanced diagnostic imaging, newer drugs, and higher-ranked physicians – significantly increases life expectancy without raising medical expenditures per capita.


The cost of medical care continues to rise rapidly in the US and other industrialised countries. According to a http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20090618/ap_on_bi_ge/us2010_health_costs - report from consulting firm PricewaterhouseCoopers, US employers who offer health insurance coverage could see a 9% cost increase between 2009 and 2010, and their workers may face an even larger increase.

Some observers argue that rapidly increasing health care expenditure is due, to an important extent, to medical innovation – the development and use of new drugs, diagnostics, and procedures. For example, the Kaiser Family Foundation (2007), citing Rettig (1994), claims that “advances in medical technology have contributed to rising overall US health care spending.”

Other observers argue that most medical innovations do not improve people’s health. Lexchin (2004), for example, claims that “at best one third of new drugs offer some additional clinical benefit and perhaps as few as 3% are major therapeutic advances.”

If both of these claims were true, medical innovation would result in the worst of both worlds – a large increase in cost and little or no increase in benefit (in the form of improved health outcomes). However, a study that I have recently performed casts considerable doubt on both of these claims. My findings indicate that medical innovation has yielded significant increases in life expectancy without increasing medical expenditure.

My study (Lichtenberg 2009) examines the effect of the quality of medical care, behavioural risk factors, and other variables on life expectancy and medical expenditure using longitudinal state-level data. As shown in Figure 1, the rate of increase of longevity has varied considerably across US states since 1991.

Figure 1. Increase in life expectancy at birth 1991-2004, by state

I examined the effects of three different measures of the quality of medical care. The first is the average quality of diagnostic imaging procedures, defined as the fraction of procedures that are advanced procedures. The second is the mean vintage (FDA approval year) of outpatient and inpatient prescription drugs. The third is the average quality of practicing physicians, defined as the fraction of physicians that were trained at top-ranked medical schools.

I also examined the effects on longevity of three important behavioural risk factors – obesity, smoking, and AIDS incidence – and other variables – education, income, and health insurance coverage – that might be expected to influence longevity growth. My econometric approach controlled for the effects of unobserved factors that vary across states but are relatively stable over time (e.g. climate and environmental quality), and unobserved factors that change over time but are invariant across states (e.g. changes in federal government policies).

The gains from medical innovation

The indicators of the quality of diagnostic imaging procedures, drugs, and physicians almost always had positive and statistically significant effects on life expectancy. Life expectancy increased more rapidly in states where (1) the fraction of Medicare diagnostic imaging procedures that were advanced procedures increased more rapidly, (2) the vintage of self- and provider-administered drugs increased more rapidly, and (3) the quality of medical schools previously attended by physicians increased more rapidly.

Between 1991 and 2004, life expectancy at birth increased 2.37 years. The estimates imply that, during this period, the increased use of advanced imaging technology increased life expectancy by 0.62-0.71 years, use of newer outpatient prescription drugs increased life expectancy by 0.96-1.26 years, and use of newer provider-administered drugs increased life expectancy by 0.48-0.54 years. The decline in the average quality of medical schools previously attended by physicians reduced life expectancy by 0.28-0.47 years.

The availability of data from Australia’s universal health care system, Medicare Australia, allowed me to provide some additional evidence about the impact of advanced imaging technology on mortality. I estimated difference-in-difference models of the effect of advanced imaging innovation on age-specific mortality rates. Demographic groups that had above-average increases in the number of advanced imaging procedures per capita had above-average declines in mortality rates, but changes in mortality rates were uncorrelated across demographic groups with changes in the number of standard imaging procedures per capita. Estimates of the effect of diagnostic imaging innovation on longevity based on Australian data are quite consistent with estimates based on US data.

The increased fraction of the population that was overweight or obese, rising from 44% to 59%, reduced the increase in life expectancy by .58-.68 years. The decline in the incidence of AIDS is estimated to have increased life expectancy by .18-.20 years. The small decline in smoking prevalence may have increased life expectancy by about 0.10 years.

Growth in life expectancy was uncorrelated across states with health insurance coverage and education, and inversely correlated with per capita income growth. The 19% increase in real per capita income is estimated to have reduced life expectancy by .34-.43 years. The sum of the contributions of all of the factors to the increase in life expectancy is in the 0.85-1.32 year range. Consequently, between 1.05 and 1.52 years of the 2.37-year increase in life expectancy is unexplained.

Greater coverage, lower costs

Although states with larger increases in the quality of diagnostic procedures, drugs, and physicians had larger increases in life expectancy, they did not have larger increases in per capita medical expenditure. This may be the case because, while newer diagnostic procedures and drugs are more expensive than their older counterparts, they may reduce the need for costly additional medical treatment. The absence of a correlation across states between medical innovation and expenditure growth is inconsistent with the view that advances in medical technology have contributed to rising overall US health care spending. Increased health insurance coverage is associated with lower growth in per capita medical expenditure.


http://www.voxeu.org/index.php?q=node/3707 - http://www.voxeu.org/index.php?q=node/3707

Enjoy.


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Posted By: mbro
Date Posted: 13 July 2009 at 10:23pm
Wait, global warming or Upstate NY warming?

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Don't blame me, I voted for Kodos.


Posted By: FROG MAN
Date Posted: 14 July 2009 at 1:24am
meh, I think it was just a joke choop. I hear educated people making the same joke all the time.


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<1 meg sig = bad>


Posted By: Bunkered
Date Posted: 14 July 2009 at 7:30am
Originally posted by Gatyr Gatyr wrote:


Originally posted by oldsoldier oldsoldier wrote:

Still bored,
Troll this stuff somewhere else then. Or at least bring something new. But for now, refute:

Originally posted by SomeGuy SomeGuy wrote:

A bunch of Irrelevant crap


What did all that refute about global warming?

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Posted By: FreeEnterprise
Date Posted: 14 July 2009 at 7:59am

I can't wait till they pass cap and trade...

 

Then the guys on here will be deciding, "hmm, gas for the car, or beer..."...

I feel a lot of walking is in the future for many of you.

 

So much for "no tax increases for anyone under $250,000..."

Good thing you voted for Osama.



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They tremble at my name...


Posted By: IMPULS3.
Date Posted: 14 July 2009 at 9:56am
FE: Where have you been? It seemed a little weird without you around.

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Posted By: FreeEnterprise
Date Posted: 14 July 2009 at 10:19am

been busy...

 
Watching our business fall apart from all this government "intervention"... My customers (large corporate, all the way down to small business) are afraid to spend any money as they are terrified to what is happening since Obama took over.
 
We had 31 employees in January. Now we have 23... Unemployment in Ohio is now over 10%... I feel sorry for anyone who is getting out of school and looking for a job...
 
We just installed a $800 anti-back siphen into our plumbing (new law). Which we have to pay $45 a year to have inspected... Taxes on cigs have skyrocketed (guess only guys making $250,000 a year smoke... I didn't know). The tax "rebate" we all got is "income" and you have to pay taxes on it next year...
 
They are contemplating taxing every can of pop $.10... more...
 
And that is not even considering what they want to do to health care... And the fact that my property taxes went up 20% this year... While the auditor lowered the heads of the schools in my area taxes... And they all got healthy raises... superintendents income went from $109,000 to $143,000...
 
So, between researching the local corruption, and sending articles to the papers with the proof, (which they have ignored so far) as well as going to meetings and talking to others about our new PAC, I've been swamped...
 
http://www.stoptsd.com - www.stoptsd.com
 
 
 
 


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They tremble at my name...


Posted By: Benjichang
Date Posted: 14 July 2009 at 10:20am
OBAMA IS RUINING OUR LIVES

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irc.esper.net
#paintball


Posted By: IMPULS3.
Date Posted: 14 July 2009 at 10:30am
Originally posted by FreeEnterprise FreeEnterprise wrote:

I feel sorry for anyone who is getting out of school and looking for a job...

 
That is why a lot of people are staying in school. If you stay in school the interest doesn't start on the student loans.
 
I have a funny story about that actually.
 
Four years ago I had two older friends. It was their senior year and just graduated, one buddy was going to college, the other was a street pharmacist. The local pharmacist got caught and got sent to state prison just about around when my other friend started college. Fast foward 4 years till now (May). My "buddy" (We don't talk much anymore seeing he is a retard) got out of prison a month earlier before my buddy graduated from college. Who do you think has a job right now? My buddy who got out of prison does. He learned a trade while in prison (welding) and is currently making a decent honest living, while my buddy who got out of college is barely struggling to pay rent, while his student loans are piling up. Pretty sad when you think about it.


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Posted By: DeTrevni
Date Posted: 14 July 2009 at 11:47am
It would almost seem skilled labor is where it's at these days. I'm going for machining, as I've said many times before.

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Evil Elvis: "Detrevni is definally like a hillbilly hippy from hell"



Posted By: Peter Parker
Date Posted: 14 July 2009 at 12:02pm
1.  "Global warming" is a correct and accurate term, but it has fallen out of favor because people - either out of ignorance or obstinacy - incorrectly understood it to mean that it meant warming in every local microclimate.  "Climate change" is merely a sop to the people who don't or won't understand that "global" doesn't mean "here."  Either term is usable with the appropriate explanation.
 
2.  While predictions of specific climate changes are many and varied, there is one theme that is pretty constant:  increased precipitation in most places.  I am not saying that the rainy summer in NY is the result of global warming, but I will say that most models in place do in fact predict exactly that type of change for places like NY.
 
3.  FE:  Would you feel differently about the various federal efforts to limit emissions if the economic impacts were only minimally negative in the short term, and positive in the long-term?
 
4.  And I am digging the tree-hugger economics in FE's sig.


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"E Pluribus Unum" does not mean "Every man for himself".

Pop Quiz: What do all the Framers of the Constitution have in common?


Posted By: Ceesman762
Date Posted: 14 July 2009 at 12:09pm
Originally posted by DeTrevni DeTrevni wrote:

It would almost seem skilled labor is where it's at these days. I'm going for machining, as I've said many times before.

Good Luck, manufacturing is being hit very hard.  Machinists re looking for work too.


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Innocence proves nothing
FUAC!!!!!




Posted By: IMPULS3.
Date Posted: 14 July 2009 at 12:10pm
Originally posted by Ceesman762 Ceesman762 wrote:

Originally posted by DeTrevni DeTrevni wrote:

It would almost seem skilled labor is where it's at these days. I'm going for machining, as I've said many times before.

Good Luck, manufacturing is being hit very hard.  Machinists re looking for work too.
 
Like you know what your talking about...... Embarrassed


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Posted By: Ceesman762
Date Posted: 14 July 2009 at 12:16pm
Originally posted by IMPULS3. IMPULS3. wrote:

Originally posted by Ceesman762 Ceesman762 wrote:

Originally posted by DeTrevni DeTrevni wrote:

It would almost seem skilled labor is where it's at these days. I'm going for machining, as I've said many times before.

Good Luck, manufacturing is being hit very hard.  Machinists re looking for work too.
 
Like you know what your talking about...... Embarrassed

yep, I could be getting laid off in August after 10 years with my company.  No one is buying lasers, waterjets or press brakes.  No one wants t buy new machines.    


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Innocence proves nothing
FUAC!!!!!




Posted By: IMPULS3.
Date Posted: 14 July 2009 at 12:21pm
Ouch, sorry to hear that. Hopefully things turn out for the best, if not tec9.jpg.

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Posted By: Ceesman762
Date Posted: 14 July 2009 at 12:24pm
Originally posted by IMPULS3. IMPULS3. wrote:

Ouch, sorry to hear that. Hopefully things turn out for the best, if not tec9.jpg.

Never Say Die. I hav already put plans into motion to keep cash coming in.  Robbing crack dealers again sounds good....quick cash and no one calls the cops about those robberies.


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Innocence proves nothing
FUAC!!!!!




Posted By: IMPULS3.
Date Posted: 14 July 2009 at 12:37pm
Always a viable option.

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Posted By: FreeEnterprise
Date Posted: 14 July 2009 at 1:08pm
Originally posted by Peter Parker Peter Parker wrote:

1.  "Global warming" is a correct and accurate term, but it has fallen out of favor because people - either out of ignorance or obstinacy - incorrectly understood it to mean that it meant warming in every local microclimate.  "Climate change" is merely a sop to the people who don't or won't understand that "global" doesn't mean "here."  Either term is usable with the appropriate explanation.
 
And yet, blaming mans effects on the planet ignores the history of our planet... Was the ice age caused by dino gas? Maybe the planet cycles... Temps get warmer, then they get cooler, mans attempts to eliminate Gods power to do as he wishes with the earth and blame themselves for the changes is laughable. And the "science" is shady at best.
 
2.  While predictions of specific climate changes are many and varied, there is one theme that is pretty constant:  increased precipitation in most places.  I am not saying that the rainy summer in NY is the result of global warming, but I will say that most models in place do in fact predict exactly that type of change for places like NY.
 
3.  FE:  Would you feel differently about the various federal efforts to limit emissions if the economic impacts were only minimally negative in the short term, and positive in the long-term?
 
Forcing changes that have ANY economic impact during (as Senior leader Obama stated) "the worst economic conditions since the great depression", is STUPID. Use the pseudo science scam when the economy is rolling, and people have actual jobs to pay for the major increases (the real reason they "need" the money is to pay for the huge deficit, and give them more money to waste).
 
4.  And I am digging the tree-hugger economics in FE's sig.
 
I enjoy the stupidity of that line... I got it from a FSC vendor we use... We looked into becoming FSC certified, as many "green" customers want their vendors using it (until the economy fell off a cliff, and we have gotten ZERO requests for it since January...)
 
We would have to pay around $10,000 and an annual fee to have the certification. And ZERO changes to what we already do, (recycle our paper waste, ink waste, and use enviromentally friendly press wash, and chemistry...) Iike most "green" stuff, its all about someone making money.
 
The sooner the youth realizes this the better off our country will be. They only care about making Green from the green movement...
 
We have no real effect on the environment. One volcano causes more "damage" to the environment than anything we all (us on this board) do in our lifetimes...


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They tremble at my name...


Posted By: Peter Parker
Date Posted: 14 July 2009 at 1:30pm
Originally posted by FreeEnterprise FreeEnterprise wrote:

 
We have no real effect on the environment. One volcano causes more "damage" to the environment than anything we all (us on this board) do in our lifetimes...
 
I was going to respond line by line to this post, but when I got to this I realized I didn't have to. 
 
Clue:  anybody talking about how volcanos put out this vast amount of CO2, or otherwise causes this amazing amount of environmental impact, is either (a) intentionally lying, (b) intentionally avoid the truth, (c) selectively accepting whatever "facts" he likes without any investigation at all, or (d) all of the above.
 
Next you were going to talk about global cooling and acid rain, right?
 
What should clue you in to the real "conspiracy" here is how these claims, which have been repeatedly shown to be completely false, keep getting brought up by the supposed leaders of the "global warming is bunk" crowd.
 
When somebody who is supposed to be expert keeps repeating lies and falsehoods, you have to question their credibility.  The fact that this volcano canard still comes up on a regular basis is powerful evidence of the intentional recirculation of misinformation.
 
Critical thinking is your friend, and Google can help.
 


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"E Pluribus Unum" does not mean "Every man for himself".

Pop Quiz: What do all the Framers of the Constitution have in common?


Posted By: FreeEnterprise
Date Posted: 14 July 2009 at 1:34pm
Actually, I don't need google to know that "global warming" is a scam...
 
 
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_scientists_opposing_the_mainstream_scientific_assessment_of_global_warming - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_scientists_opposing_the_mainstream_scientific_assessment_of_global_warming
 
 
 


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They tremble at my name...


Posted By: Peter Parker
Date Posted: 14 July 2009 at 1:51pm
Originally posted by FreeEnterprise FreeEnterprise wrote:

Actually, I don't need google to know that "global warming" is a scam...
 
 
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_scientists_opposing_the_mainstream_scientific_assessment_of_global_warming - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_scientists_opposing_the_mainstream_scientific_assessment_of_global_warming
 
 
 
 
Ah, yes, because a short list of dissenters is more conclusive than actual science...
 
And did you notice the "mainstream" part?  That means, pretty much by definition, that the list of people supporting the "mainstream" assessment outnumber your paltry little list - by a lot.
 
So all your list tells me, even if I take it at face value without looking up individuals listed, is that most relevant scientists in fact SUPPORT the current assessment.
 
Thanks for arguing my point for me.
 
 
But in any event, nice dodge.  Now try google and volcanos.
 


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"E Pluribus Unum" does not mean "Every man for himself".

Pop Quiz: What do all the Framers of the Constitution have in common?


Posted By: IMPULS3.
Date Posted: 14 July 2009 at 1:52pm
*grabs some popcorn* It's about damn time we had one of these threads.

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Posted By: ammolord
Date Posted: 14 July 2009 at 1:54pm
Originally posted by IMPULS3. IMPULS3. wrote:

*grabs some popcorn* It's about damn time we had one of these threads.


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PSN Tag: AmmoLord
XBL: xXAmmoLordXx


~Minister of Tinkering With Things That Go "BOOM!"(AKA Minister of Munitions)~


Posted By: Peter Parker
Date Posted: 14 July 2009 at 2:04pm
Originally posted by ammolord ammolord wrote:

Originally posted by IMPULS3. IMPULS3. wrote:

*grabs some popcorn* It's about damn time we had one of these threads.
 
Don't hold your breath - FE is offline.
 
In any event, I encourage everybody to google "volcano CO2" or anything like that.  What you will get is dozens of links to very reputable sources (US Geological Survey, several top universities), all of which will tell you the actual undisputed fact that combined volcanic activity puts out less than 1% of the CO2 put out by human activity.  Less than ONE PERCENT.
 
Yet the loonie-right blogosphere (as well as Rush and pals) has been regurgitating this outright lie for years.  Nobody even knows for sure where this urban legend started.  The complete lack of any source whatsover, the incredible ease of debunking - that has not stopped the deniers from keeping this lie alive.
 
Hence my point:  Anybody who tells you about volcanos and CO2 is either lying or hasn't bothered to spend even 15 seconds fact-checking, and you should feel free to be VERY skeptical of everything else they have to say.
 


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"E Pluribus Unum" does not mean "Every man for himself".

Pop Quiz: What do all the Framers of the Constitution have in common?


Posted By: FreeEnterprise
Date Posted: 14 July 2009 at 2:21pm
typical... Discredit "pending" sources before they are even posted...
 
Very "partial" of you and typical of liberal spin...
 
I wish I had more time, but I gotta get downtown to pick up a job...


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They tremble at my name...


Posted By: Peter Parker
Date Posted: 14 July 2009 at 2:39pm
Originally posted by FreeEnterprise FreeEnterprise wrote:

typical... Discredit "pending" sources before they are even posted...
 
 
/random?
 
What is this "pending" source that I discredited, and what does that have to do with anything at all? 
 
 


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"E Pluribus Unum" does not mean "Every man for himself".

Pop Quiz: What do all the Framers of the Constitution have in common?


Posted By: Peter Parker
Date Posted: 14 July 2009 at 2:47pm
Originally posted by FreeEnterprise FreeEnterprise wrote:

...mans attempts to eliminate Gods power to do as he wishes with the earth and blame themselves for the changes is laughable.
 
To those of us in the arguing bidness, this is what we call an "argument from incredulity."  Basically it goes like this:  "ZOMG THAT CAN'T POSSIBLY BE TRUE!!!11!!"
 
Not a very persuasive argument form.
 
And in this case doubly so - as every one of us can look out the window and see how effective man has been at affecting the environment.  A claim that human activity "cannot possibly" overcome the forces of nature flies in the face of thousands of years of human activity that has done exactly that.
 
Originally posted by FE FE wrote:

Forcing changes that have ANY economic impact [now] is STUPID. 
 
 
This is ridiculously simplistic.  If we raise the average household utility bill by $50/year, and in the process lay the foundation for a new stronger economy - it's a no-brainer.  Of course we make that investment.
 
Everything has an impact.  The challenge is balancing and choosing.  Saying we should do nothing that would have any impact would prohibit any action at all.
 


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"E Pluribus Unum" does not mean "Every man for himself".

Pop Quiz: What do all the Framers of the Constitution have in common?


Posted By: Rofl_Mao
Date Posted: 14 July 2009 at 6:56pm
Originally posted by Peter Parker Peter Parker wrote:

understand that "global" doesn't mean "here."


Um doesn't global mean everywhere?


Posted By: Tolgak
Date Posted: 14 July 2009 at 7:10pm
Originally posted by Rofl_Mao Rofl_Mao wrote:

Originally posted by Peter Parker Peter Parker wrote:

understand that "global" doesn't mean "here."


Um doesn't global mean everywhere?


Global means "on average across the earth." The only way the world would cool or heat equally at all points is if it was made of a single substance and the world was a perfectly spherical, non-rotating object with equal outside influence (solar radiation, for example) from all sides. Because the earth isn't perfectly uniform; and because of things like convection and jet streams and ocean currents and differences in heat absorption between water and land and the fact that the heat that matters is measured not only on the surface but under the ocean and in the atmosphere, you aren't going to get equal heating all over the earth. In fact, these attributes are what actually makes some places colder while other places are getting hotter.

tc(onfusing);dr, what is happening in your city in no way reflects what is happening to the world as a whole.


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Posted By: Mack
Date Posted: 14 July 2009 at 7:29pm
Originally posted by Peter Parker Peter Parker wrote:

What you will get is dozens of links to very reputable sources (US Geological Survey, several top universities), all of which will tell you the actual undisputed fact that combined volcanic activity puts out less than 1% of the CO2 put out by human activity.  Less than ONE PERCENT.


Pffft.  I put out more greenhouse gas than that after a good bowl of chili.


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Posted By: Eville
Date Posted: 14 July 2009 at 7:40pm
Originally posted by FreeEnterprise FreeEnterprise wrote:

been busy...

 
Watching our business fall apart from all this government "intervention"... My customers (large corporate, all the way down to small business) are afraid to spend any money as they are terrified to what is happening since Obama took over.
 
 


You probably also blame Obama for the state of the firearm and ammunition market, don't you. 


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Posted By: Rofl_Mao
Date Posted: 14 July 2009 at 7:54pm
Originally posted by Tolgak Tolgak wrote:

Originally posted by Rofl_Mao Rofl_Mao wrote:

Originally posted by Peter Parker Peter Parker wrote:

understand that "global" doesn't mean "here."


Um doesn't global mean everywhere?


Global means "on average across the earth." The only way the world would cool or heat equally at all points is if it was made of a single substance and the world was a perfectly spherical, non-rotating object with equal outside influence (solar radiation, for example) from all sides. Because the earth isn't perfectly uniform; and because of things like convection and jet streams and ocean currents and differences in heat absorption between water and land and the fact that the heat that matters is measured not only on the surface but under the ocean and in the atmosphere, you aren't going to get equal heating all over the earth. In fact, these attributes are what actually makes some places colder while other places are getting hotter.

tc(onfusing);dr, what is happening in your city in no way reflects what is happening to the world as a whole.


So where are the numbers of global warming?


Posted By: DeTrevni
Date Posted: 14 July 2009 at 8:04pm
Originally posted by Eville Eville wrote:

Originally posted by FreeEnterprise FreeEnterprise wrote:

been busy...

 
Watching our business fall apart from all this government "intervention"... My customers (large corporate, all the way down to small business) are afraid to spend any money as they are terrified to what is happening since Obama took over.
 
 


You probably also blame Obama for the state of the firearm and ammunition market, don't you. 
 
I do. But not directly. People think he's gonna do something, and because of that, they all flood the outdoor stores, buying whatever their grubby hands can grab, thus inflating the market. Thanks to delicious capitalism, prices are raised to quell the demand or squeeze a few extra bucks out of it.
 
The irony is there's not a whole lot Obama can do.


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Evil Elvis: "Detrevni is definally like a hillbilly hippy from hell"



Posted By: Peter Parker
Date Posted: 14 July 2009 at 8:36pm
Originally posted by Rofl_Mao Rofl_Mao wrote:

So where are the numbers of global warming?
 
As in "how many global warmings?"


-------------

"E Pluribus Unum" does not mean "Every man for himself".

Pop Quiz: What do all the Framers of the Constitution have in common?


Posted By: FreeEnterprise
Date Posted: 15 July 2009 at 8:10am
I would ask anyone who is serious about thinking, and wants to understand what is at stake to read "red hot lies".
 
http://www.amazon.com/Red-Hot-Lies-Alarmists-Misinformed/dp/1596985380 - http://www.amazon.com/Red-Hot-Lies-Alarmists-Misinformed/dp/1596985380
 
It will lay out the facts, with all of the references that prove the true agenda of "green" activists.
 
Remember how the world was going to end because of the ozone layer in our atmosphere (another one claimed to be caused by mans use of hairspray...) Well that crisis passed, and they needed another to generate income.
 
Global warming (which since the earth is now cooling, they have to change the name...) is the next scam.
 
Or you can just believe the hype like peter. Who would never read a book like "red hot lies" as it might just affect his liberal mind (the same mind that thinks it is "moderate"...)


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They tremble at my name...


Posted By: FreeEnterprise
Date Posted: 15 July 2009 at 8:19am


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They tremble at my name...


Posted By: FreeEnterprise
Date Posted: 15 July 2009 at 8:29am


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They tremble at my name...


Posted By: Glassjaw
Date Posted: 15 July 2009 at 8:36am
Originally posted by DeTrevni DeTrevni wrote:

It would almost seem skilled labor is where it's at these days. I'm going for machining, as I've said many times before.


Been working in my uncles manufacturing shop.  Pretty redundant work.


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The desire for polyester is just to powerful.


Posted By: FreeEnterprise
Date Posted: 15 July 2009 at 8:57am
As the government puts even more taxes on business (the backbone of our country) we will see less jobs from the business that is able to stay competitive...
 
In other words, good job all you who voted for Obama. You get no job... But, hey, free health care is right around the corner...


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They tremble at my name...


Posted By: oldsoldier
Date Posted: 15 July 2009 at 9:42am
Jobs- currently the country is more than 100,000 over the road drivers short to maintain on time of all products. Driver recruiters from all the major company's struggle to get American drivers and have resorted to eastern europe and central america to fill the demand. Why is that?
I made upwards of $60K a year as a driver, the sacrifice was being away from home. As a driver training I could aways tell when Johnny Spoiledbutt was calling it quits, right after the call home during dinner at the truckstop, the sad eyes and the resulting quiet. And all I asked is what terminal do you want to be dropped at? There are jobs out there in the blue collar sector, but the average American coming out of school expects the 8-5, 60K job right out of the box. I can go back to work tomorrow driving OTR (but medically can not) and start off again at my standard monthly mileage at approximately $60K. I was willing to stay out 3 weeks plus 4 days off, to get my minimum 12K miles per month, sacrifice for success, what a concept for the new generations to accept.

BTW- seriously looking at modifying the rules to fit the situation to get back out on the road. I enjoyed the work in my RV with an income, and I am bored to tears and so frustrated not able to work. Called Crete Carriers and they were willing to do whatever it took (ie schedule my hometime around my VA appointments) to get me and Duke back in one of thier trucks.

And now a 5.3% surtax on success, lets see if congress with a(D) pays the same surtax, thank god for Obama and the Democrat led congress, Lenin and Marx would be proud, dismantling capitalism one brick at a time..

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Posted By: FreeEnterprise
Date Posted: 15 July 2009 at 9:56am
I pay over $6,000 a month now for my electric at my business.
 

I hate to see what it will go up to under "cap and trade"...

 

but, I guarantee I will have to cut another employee, because the well is dry. If I can't make money, I'm cutting payroll.

 

 

And next is health care... I'm sure in the next month they can figure out all the problems and write a bill that will fix everything and have us all paying less...

 

 

NOT!

 

Good thing we have...

 

]

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They tremble at my name...


Posted By: jmac3
Date Posted: 15 July 2009 at 10:29am
Originally posted by FreeEnterprise FreeEnterprise wrote:



In all honesty, I would have watched this video if I wasn't bombarded by Glenn Beck.

I have heard enough stupid crap out of that mans mouth that I don't feel the need to listen.


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Que pasa?




Posted By: Peter Parker
Date Posted: 15 July 2009 at 12:02pm
Ah, yes.  Chris Horner of the "Competitive Enterprise Institute," the think tank funded in no small part by ExxonMobil and other oil companies, as well as coal companies and car companies.  CEI has been on a mission to fight science for some time.
 
I am glad you brought up Horner and the CEI.
 
Where to start... 
 
The CEI led the charge against CAFE standards (mileage minimums for cars), and against warning labels on drugs (CEI is also funded by pharmaceutical companies), and against nutritional labels on food.  Here is a fascinating internal CEI document on the subject and on "recharacterizing" health risks generally:  http://legacy.library.ucsf.edu/tid/ewt22d00/pdf;jsessionid=3311457D866B742A442C385F6A176F7E - http://legacy.library.ucsf.edu/tid/ewt22d00/pdf;jsessionid=3311457D866B742A442C385F6A176F7E
 
Oh, and a search on CEI and tobacco gives results that would impress even Nick Naylor (yep - also funded by tobacco companies).
 
The list goes on.  Bottom line:  CEI isn't a "think tank" of any kind, but a marketing company currently on the payroll of the oil and coal companies, and as a result CEI has zero credibility on this issue.
 
Yes, global warming deniers - THESE are your champions.
 
But let's not stop with credibility.  In this clip there are (unsurprisingly) more canards being repeated.
 
For instance, for the early few minutes Horner mentions repeatedly how it is cooler now than "when Bush entered office" and various other versions of that.
 
This is a classic - some enterprising deniers even have charts and graphs showing decline in global temperature, but with the date labels in very small print.  This because the current decline goes back to about 2000, and eight years is not exactly a good basis for weather projections.  If you zoom out as far as the data will go you see a consistent warming trend that is not undone by the current blip.  That of course is omitted.
 
Horner talking about how it is cooler now than in 2000 is about as useful as OS talking about how it is raining in NY.  It just isn't relevant, and it is intentionally misleading.
 
And then there are the abortions.  Ah, yes - the abortions.  Guaranteed to stoke irrational outrage since 1973.  This is really brilliant.  Basically, the argument goes like this:  "If we go to a 'green' economy, we will be paying Chinese people to have abortions, and global warming must therefore be false."
 
Wait, what?
 
First off, there is the glaring logical error.  Even if a green economy did lead to more abortions, that has no impact on the scientific reality of global warming.  Unpleasant results do not change science.
 
But, of course, this is just more fear-mongering by Horner.  It is certainly true that having a child is a very environmentally unfriendly thing to do, but only the loonie-left extremists have suggested any type of policy on this basis.  And the China carbon credit angle?  I have been unable to get this from any other source than Horner himself so far.  I wouldn't be surprised if China has requested or will request some credit for its population control policies, but it is a long way from there to Horner's statement. 
 
This is emotion-stoking and fear-mongering.  Classic moves for a lobbyist from a marketing company.  Entirely inappropriate for a discussion about science.
 
I could go on, but good lord it is exhausting.  Four minutes into the video and I am already worn out.  I will watch the rest later.
 
But the bottom line again is that the CEI is an excellent example of what comes from the deniers' camp:  hired guns with misleading statements and irrelevant emotional appeals.  Did you hear any science in that clip?  No?  Me neither.
 
(At least not in the first four minutes)
 
 
Yes, global warming deniers - THESE are your champions.  And you wonder why I don't take you seriously?
 


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"E Pluribus Unum" does not mean "Every man for himself".

Pop Quiz: What do all the Framers of the Constitution have in common?


Posted By: Peter Parker
Date Posted: 15 July 2009 at 12:11pm
Originally posted by oldsoldier oldsoldier wrote:

As a driver training I could aways tell when Johnny Spoiledbutt was calling it quits, right after the call home during dinner at the truckstop, the sad eyes and the resulting quiet. And all I asked is what terminal do you want to be dropped at? There are jobs out there in the blue collar sector, but the average American coming out of school expects the 8-5, 60K job right out of the box.
 
I am usually very skeptical of the "zomg the utes of today" position, but I tend to agree with this statement.  I think we have overemphasized college in the last generation or two, and coupled that overemphasis with a sense of entitlement to a cushy high-paying office job.  I am always astonished at the astonishment of new college grads wondering why they can't get a sweet job with their degree in art history.
 
The good news, I think, is that this is about to change - at least the sense of entitlement.  I see more white-collar folk taking lower-paid blue-collar jobs as reality sets in, and while that can be rough for the individual, I think it is probably a healthy development for society.  Unfortunately, I think the Obama administration is still pushing "college for all," so I don't think we are out of the woods yet.
 
The bad news, however, is that this sense of entitlement is not new.  This particular shade of entitlement may be new, but I point to Flint, MI, as an example of older-style entitlement, where people flat refuse to even look for work outside of their little town.  Those folk have a sense of entitlement to a conveniently located job.  Same problem, different flavor.  So even if we beat the current problem of precious snowflakes, I suspect we will find another way to entitle ourselves into oblivion.
 
*sigh*
 
 
 
Oh, and there are more posts in a row coming from me.  What can I say - I'm a shark.  So ...  yeah.


-------------

"E Pluribus Unum" does not mean "Every man for himself".

Pop Quiz: What do all the Framers of the Constitution have in common?


Posted By: Peter Parker
Date Posted: 15 July 2009 at 12:30pm
Originally posted by FreeEnterprise FreeEnterprise wrote:

I pay over $6,000 a month now for my electric at my business.
 
I hate to see what it will go up to under "cap and trade"...
 
Actually, we have had cap and trade in place for years.  It is reflected in your electric bill.
 
Oh, you meant cap and trade for CO2 emissions?  Ah - I thought you meant cap and trade for SO2.  I was off by a letter.
 
No biggie - we all remember the devastating impacts on the economy when SO2 caps were instituted, right?  Right?  And we all remember the HUGE increases in our electric bills, right?  RIGHT?
 
 
 
Quote
And next is health care... I'm sure in the next month they can figure out all the problems and write a bill that will fix everything and have us all paying less...
 
 
NOT!
 
http://www.wickedlocal.com/belmont/homepage/x223009210/Gun-owners-lawmakers-lash-out-at-Guvs-proposed-firearm-fees -
 
Ah, yes - "NOT!"
 
From the Borat School For Kids That Can't Debate Good.
 
In any event, we have been through this before.  The US has the most expensive health care system in the world, by a very large margin, and it is getting worse - while at the same time providing inferior care.  We are on an unsustainable path, and radical change is needed. 
 
Sadly, however, I think you are correct, in the sense that Congress lacks the political will for true change here and will chicken out.  We will end up tinkering around the edges of the monstrosity.  Costs may go up, they may go down, but this will not be the changes we are looking for.
 


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"E Pluribus Unum" does not mean "Every man for himself".

Pop Quiz: What do all the Framers of the Constitution have in common?


Posted By: Peter Parker
Date Posted: 15 July 2009 at 12:33pm
Originally posted by FreeEnterprise FreeEnterprise wrote:

As the government puts even more taxes on business (the backbone of our country) we will see less jobs from the business that is able to stay competitive...
 
 
 
I could have sworn that ARRA included a whole bunch of tax cuts.  Did I miss something?  Was there a massive tax increase that I didn't hear about?


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"E Pluribus Unum" does not mean "Every man for himself".

Pop Quiz: What do all the Framers of the Constitution have in common?


Posted By: StormyKnight
Date Posted: 15 July 2009 at 12:54pm
Originally posted by Gatyr Gatyr wrote:

Originally posted by oldsoldier oldsoldier wrote:

Still bored,


Troll this stuff somewhere else then. Or at least bring something new.

But for now, refute:

Quote

http://www.voxeu.org/index.php?q=node/1276 - Frank R. Lichtenberg
27 June 2009

http://www.voxeu.org/index.php?q=node/3707# - Print   http://www.voxeu.org/index.php?q=forward/3707 - Email
http://www.voxeu.org/index.php?q=node/3707#comments - Comment   http://www.voxeu.org/index.php?q=node/87 - Republish

Many healthcare policymakers and analysts are focused on controlling rising medical costs. Is attacking high-cost, low-benefit medical innovation a solution? This column estimates that medical innovation – the use of advanced diagnostic imaging, newer drugs, and higher-ranked physicians – significantly increases life expectancy without raising medical expenditures per capita.


The cost of medical care continues to rise rapidly in the US and other industrialised countries. According to a http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20090618/ap_on_bi_ge/us2010_health_costs - report from consulting firm PricewaterhouseCoopers, US employers who offer health insurance coverage could see a 9% cost increase between 2009 and 2010, and their workers may face an even larger increase.

Some observers argue that rapidly increasing health care expenditure is due, to an important extent, to medical innovation – the development and use of new drugs, diagnostics, and procedures. For example, the Kaiser Family Foundation (2007), citing Rettig (1994), claims that “advances in medical technology have contributed to rising overall US health care spending.”

Other observers argue that most medical innovations do not improve people’s health. Lexchin (2004), for example, claims that “at best one third of new drugs offer some additional clinical benefit and perhaps as few as 3% are major therapeutic advances.”

If both of these claims were true, medical innovation would result in the worst of both worlds – a large increase in cost and little or no increase in benefit (in the form of improved health outcomes). However, a study that I have recently performed casts considerable doubt on both of these claims. My findings indicate that medical innovation has yielded significant increases in life expectancy without increasing medical expenditure.

My study (Lichtenberg 2009) examines the effect of the quality of medical care, behavioural risk factors, and other variables on life expectancy and medical expenditure using longitudinal state-level data. As shown in Figure 1, the rate of increase of longevity has varied considerably across US states since 1991.

Figure 1. Increase in life expectancy at birth 1991-2004, by state

I examined the effects of three different measures of the quality of medical care. The first is the average quality of diagnostic imaging procedures, defined as the fraction of procedures that are advanced procedures. The second is the mean vintage (FDA approval year) of outpatient and inpatient prescription drugs. The third is the average quality of practicing physicians, defined as the fraction of physicians that were trained at top-ranked medical schools.

I also examined the effects on longevity of three important behavioural risk factors – obesity, smoking, and AIDS incidence – and other variables – education, income, and health insurance coverage – that might be expected to influence longevity growth. My econometric approach controlled for the effects of unobserved factors that vary across states but are relatively stable over time (e.g. climate and environmental quality), and unobserved factors that change over time but are invariant across states (e.g. changes in federal government policies).

The gains from medical innovation

The indicators of the quality of diagnostic imaging procedures, drugs, and physicians almost always had positive and statistically significant effects on life expectancy. Life expectancy increased more rapidly in states where (1) the fraction of Medicare diagnostic imaging procedures that were advanced procedures increased more rapidly, (2) the vintage of self- and provider-administered drugs increased more rapidly, and (3) the quality of medical schools previously attended by physicians increased more rapidly.

Between 1991 and 2004, life expectancy at birth increased 2.37 years. The estimates imply that, during this period, the increased use of advanced imaging technology increased life expectancy by 0.62-0.71 years, use of newer outpatient prescription drugs increased life expectancy by 0.96-1.26 years, and use of newer provider-administered drugs increased life expectancy by 0.48-0.54 years. The decline in the average quality of medical schools previously attended by physicians reduced life expectancy by 0.28-0.47 years.

The availability of data from Australia’s universal health care system, Medicare Australia, allowed me to provide some additional evidence about the impact of advanced imaging technology on mortality. I estimated difference-in-difference models of the effect of advanced imaging innovation on age-specific mortality rates. Demographic groups that had above-average increases in the number of advanced imaging procedures per capita had above-average declines in mortality rates, but changes in mortality rates were uncorrelated across demographic groups with changes in the number of standard imaging procedures per capita. Estimates of the effect of diagnostic imaging innovation on longevity based on Australian data are quite consistent with estimates based on US data.

The increased fraction of the population that was overweight or obese, rising from 44% to 59%, reduced the increase in life expectancy by .58-.68 years. The decline in the incidence of AIDS is estimated to have increased life expectancy by .18-.20 years. The small decline in smoking prevalence may have increased life expectancy by about 0.10 years.

Growth in life expectancy was uncorrelated across states with health insurance coverage and education, and inversely correlated with per capita income growth. The 19% increase in real per capita income is estimated to have reduced life expectancy by .34-.43 years. The sum of the contributions of all of the factors to the increase in life expectancy is in the 0.85-1.32 year range. Consequently, between 1.05 and 1.52 years of the 2.37-year increase in life expectancy is unexplained.

Greater coverage, lower costs

Although states with larger increases in the quality of diagnostic procedures, drugs, and physicians had larger increases in life expectancy, they did not have larger increases in per capita medical expenditure. This may be the case because, while newer diagnostic procedures and drugs are more expensive than their older counterparts, they may reduce the need for costly additional medical treatment. The absence of a correlation across states between medical innovation and expenditure growth is inconsistent with the view that advances in medical technology have contributed to rising overall US health care spending. Increased health insurance coverage is associated with lower growth in per capita medical expenditure.


http://www.voxeu.org/index.php?q=node/3707 - http://www.voxeu.org/index.php?q=node/3707

Enjoy.
Can I have some red sauce for that copy pasta?

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Posted By: StormyKnight
Date Posted: 15 July 2009 at 12:55pm
Originally posted by choopie911 choopie911 wrote:

Wait, people are STILL stupid enough to call it global warming, and believe that's what it is?

Are you kidding me OS? How many times have we corrected you on this?
Well, the libs did change the terminology when their argument started losing steam.  Global Warming is now Climate Change, so that way if it goes one way or another, they can't be wrong.  LOL


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Posted By: StormyKnight
Date Posted: 15 July 2009 at 12:58pm
Originally posted by Benjichang Benjichang wrote:

OBAMA IS RUINING OUR LIVES
Only if you are the 'haves'.  The 'have-nots' are drooling in anticipation.

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Posted By: Peter Parker
Date Posted: 15 July 2009 at 1:06pm
Originally posted by FreeEnterprise FreeEnterprise wrote:

Remember how the world was going to end because of the ozone layer in our atmosphere (another one claimed to be caused by mans use of hairspray...) Well that crisis passed, and they needed another to generate income.
 
Global warming (which since the earth is now cooling, they have to change the name...) is the next scam.
 
 
And acid rain.  You forgot acid rain.
 
Good lord - your posts are like a list of Greatest Canards.
 
Here - I will give the quick and easy answers.  Let me know which ones you need more info about (of course, this could all be had with a quick visit to google):
 
Volcanos:  Put out only a tiny fraction of the amount of CO2 emitted by humans.
 
Current cooling trend:  Short blip when viewed against longer time horizon.
 
Sun spots/solar cycles:  These cycles are well known, and have been worked into the models.
 
Acid rain:  Thanks to aggressive regulation and a cap and trade system for SO2 implemented in 1990 (cap and trade in the US - other countries took different approaches), emissions of acid rain-causing chemicals has fallen drastically, and acid rain is no longer a real problem in most of North America or Western Europe. 
 
Ozone layer:  Thanks to aggressive regulation and a cap and trade system for NOx implemented in 1999, emission of ozone layer-depleting chemicals has fallen drastically (in the US and some other countries), the ozone layer depletion is slowing, and there are signs of recovery.  This crisis has not yet passed, but it is getting there - specifically due to aggressive regulation and cap and trade.
 
Global cooling:  This was an over-hyped hypothesis in the 70s.  It never reached any type of scientific consensus.  Claiming that the current well-supported warming theory is wrong simply because of a prior discretited cooling hypothesis is incorrect and unsupported.
 
 
Every power plant built in the US today has to have "BACT" - Best Available Control Technology - emission controls, including controls specifically targeted at SO2 and NOx.  Both SO2 and NOx allowances are traded in regional "airshed" markets.  These emission controls and the allowance markets have been smash successes.   Yet somehow both acid rain and ozone layer depletion somehow routinely get raised as arguments AGAINST global warming.  Truly impressive spin mastery.
 
 


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"E Pluribus Unum" does not mean "Every man for himself".

Pop Quiz: What do all the Framers of the Constitution have in common?


Posted By: FreeEnterprise
Date Posted: 15 July 2009 at 1:09pm
I wish they would just call this what it is...
 
 
Reparations.


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They tremble at my name...


Posted By: Peter Parker
Date Posted: 15 July 2009 at 1:33pm
Originally posted by FreeEnterprise FreeEnterprise wrote:

I wish they would just call this what it is...
 
 
Reparations.


Now THAT is an impressive non sequitur.

I guess I shouldn't be surprised that you aren't going to actually respond to my fact-laden posts, but still allow me to be the first to say:  "huh?"


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"E Pluribus Unum" does not mean "Every man for himself".

Pop Quiz: What do all the Framers of the Constitution have in common?


Posted By: FreeEnterprise
Date Posted: 15 July 2009 at 1:52pm

Lets look at the facts. I don't have time to go through your list of sketchy "pseudo science".

 
Just read the book. "Red Hot Lies"...
 
How much money has al gore made from "global warming" or "climate change" or whatever he is calling his scam now?
 
Obama is forcing through reparations. "white mans greed runs a world in need"...
 
Taking from the rich and giving to the poor. When you pay for things by taxing one group differently than others by definition you are giving reparations.
 
 


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They tremble at my name...


Posted By: Peter Parker
Date Posted: 15 July 2009 at 2:51pm
Originally posted by FreeEnterprise FreeEnterprise wrote:

Lets look at the facts. I don't have time to go through your list of sketchy "pseudo science".

Hey, I went through your pseudo-science - the least you could do is return the favor.  But I suspect you will find my science less pseudo, and my sources more reliable...

Like the US Geological Survey describing volcanic emissions - pseudo-science?


And, of course, not everything I posted was science - pseudo or otherwise - like noting that there are already several environmental cap and trade systems in place, none of which have ruined the economy.

I can see why you wouldn't want to go through that list.



Quote
Just read the book. "Red Hot Lies"...


I might - my plate is slightly full at the moment, but I do enjoy the occasional political piece.  Check back in a month or two.
 

Quote How much money has al gore made from "global warming" or "climate change" or whatever he is calling his scam now?


Wow - talk about a compound question assuming facts not in evidence.  Impressive.  Did you stop beating your wife before or after you embezzled the company?

But I will break it down:

1.  All of the profits from "An Inconvenient Truth," both book and movie, are donated to an educational campaign.  Al Gore gets nothing.

2.  Gore does have substantial investments in "green" companies, and he will presumably benefit financially from these investments if greenery becomes more popular.  But these investments are quite recent (GIS was formed in 2004, for instance), and Gore's dedication to climate change issues goes back to the 70s.  That is a heck of a long time to lay a plan.  Since Gore has spent much of his life in political office his financials were fairly public until quite recently.  As a result there are few surprises.  The whole "this is a get-rich scheme by Al Gore" theory rests on the belief that Al Gore spent 30 years of underpaid work in the government just so he could set up his green investing company after losing the Presidential election. 

3.  Most successful politicians cash in after leaving office.  If anything, Al Gore could be making FAR more money if he had chosen just about anything else to do.  Bill Clinton is getting tens and hundreds of thousands of dollars to speak - Al Gore is doing it for free.  If this is a profiteering scheme, it is the worst.profiteering.scheme.ever.

4.  Global warming/climate change is not "his" scheme.  Al Gore is not a scientist, and does not pretend to be.  The science exists independently of Al Gore and his movie.  Discovering incorrect statements in the movie does not affect the underlying science.

5.  And that is a key point.  There is volumes upon volumes of science behind current global warming theory.  Science put forth by scientists.  Most of the noise being made about global warming is being made by scientists - mostly the same scientists doing the science.  Yes, there are some high-profile non-scientist spokesmen (like Al Gore), and yes, there is a signficant non-scientific hippie/political movement pushing as well, but on the whole it is a science-driven movement.  

6.  ON THE OTHER HAND, the no-global-warming crowd consists mostly of politicians, industry lobbyists, and crackpots.  There are certainly some legitimate scientists with legitimate scientific questions and concerns - and those concerns are heard.  I have no beef with them or their research.  The science on global warming is not a bedrock solid as some other scientific theories, and there is plenty of work left to be done.  But those scientists are the minority, and a fairly quiet minority, of the no-warming crowd.  They are drowned out by industry hacks like Horner, who intentionally spouts what he must know to be untrue, drowned out by media hacks like Rush Limbaugh, who will say whatever is the opposite of the last thing he heard a Democrat say, and drowned out by political hacks like Inhofe, who will say whatever his biggest campaign donors tell him to.  The two do not compare.


Quote
Obama is forcing through reparations. "white mans greed runs a world in need"...
 
Taking from the rich and giving to the poor. When you pay for things by taxing one group differently than others by definition you are giving reparations.


That makes absolutely no sense.  Reparations for... what?

And, BTW, your definition of "reparations" is really just "taxes."  Almost by definition, virtually all taxes amount to a redistribution of wealth.



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"E Pluribus Unum" does not mean "Every man for himself".

Pop Quiz: What do all the Framers of the Constitution have in common?


Posted By: FreeEnterprise
Date Posted: 15 July 2009 at 3:13pm
Originally posted by Peter Parker Peter Parker wrote:

Did you stop beating your wife before or after you embezzled the company?


 
wow... nice personal attack there... Guess you can go back to talking to yourself again...


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They tremble at my name...


Posted By: Eville
Date Posted: 15 July 2009 at 3:24pm
"I reject your reality and substitute my own."
-Adam Savage or FreeEnterprise?


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Posted By: Gatyr
Date Posted: 15 July 2009 at 3:25pm
Originally posted by FreeEnterprise FreeEnterprise wrote:

Originally posted by Peter Parker Peter Parker wrote:

Did you stop beating your wife before or after you embezzled the company?
 
wow... nice personal attack there... Guess you can go back to talking to yourself again...


He used that sentence to illustrate the silliness of your question. Don't look at it as a personal attack, look at it as a parallel to your compounded question based on assumptions that he hopes will help you recognize the problem with your question while prefacing an actual response.

I have a question, though. Are you like this in real life? If you were in a meeting of some sort and one of your peers said something that you misunderstood and you became offended, would you pull the "I DUN WANNA PLAY ANYMORE" card? Do you stoop below the professionalism of others in the workplace in response to something you don't like? You seem like a semi-successful businessman, so I am assuming this sort of incredulity you exhibit is purely an internet phenomenon.


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Posted By: Darur
Date Posted: 15 July 2009 at 3:38pm
Originally posted by Peter Parker Peter Parker wrote:

CEI isn't a "think tank" of any kind, but a marketing company currently on the payroll of the oil and coal companies, and as a result CEI has zero credibility on this issue.
 


Annnnd that's where I stopped taking you seriously in this thread.

I know nothing about CEI, and for all I know they are guilty of every accusation you make, but if you're going to dismiss research based on where their funding came from, then every study funded by any enviormental group or fund may be dismissed as well.

Please tell me that that is not what you meant by that statement.


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Real Men play Tuba

[IMG]http://img89.imageshack.us/img89/1859/newsmall6xz.jpg">

PH33R TEH 1337 Dwarf!

http://www.tippmann.com/forum/wwf77a/log_off_user.asp" rel="nofollow - DONT CLICK ME!!1


Posted By: Peter Parker
Date Posted: 15 July 2009 at 3:44pm
That was indeed not what I meant by that statement.  It is not a standalone conclusory claim - rather this is the conclusion based on my research of CEI, some of which is summarized in my posts.

CEI is not to be dismissed solely because they get their funding from Exxon and pals, but that goes in the hopper as well.  The real problem with CEI is the crap they spout.

But more on funding - the funding IS important in this case, because if you look at the "think tanks" putting out anti-global warming propaganda, a disturbingly large number of them are heavily funded by oil, coal, and cars.  One or two is a coincidence - when you keep running into oil money every time you check out a liar, then you start wondering, and suddenly the oil money becomes a taint of its own.

And that is my point with the funding - it isn't just CEI, but a whole of bunch of them.

But the main reason you should dismiss CEI, of course, is because they spout lies.

And another important distinction:  CEI doesn't do research.  Scientific research stands on its own, regardless of who pays the bill.  CEI doesn't do science, they do propaganda.  And when evaluating propaganda, funding is very much an issue.

This is particularly true with groups like CEI.  Look at CEI's funding lists and look at the issues they cover.  The overlap is disturbing.  I am not aware of a single issue covered by CEI where they did not receive substantial funding from an industry group that would benefit from CEI's conclusions.


-------------

"E Pluribus Unum" does not mean "Every man for himself".

Pop Quiz: What do all the Framers of the Constitution have in common?


Posted By: oldsoldier
Date Posted: 15 July 2009 at 4:12pm
Funding of any agenda based research from either side of the issue has credibility issues. From the actual researchers of the science of climate, who have a agenda based belief and then research and then base thier research results to that end, ignoring any counter research results lead to credibilty issues. Since the 70's we have been promised a return to another Ice Age, to Global Warming destroying civilization as we know it, and a following of researchers that ride whichever agenda bandwagon will fund thier research.
The IceCaps can trace climate changes for several millenium, and the heating cooling cycles are present. In the early 40's we nearly burned down 1/3rd of the planet, and not a blip on the "warming" trend, even observations of Mars show the ice caps growing and then receding in cycles. And there is not a SUV or industrial base to be seen on Mars.

All this research and science is all agenda based and the old addage of "follow the money" should give you a clue on the "desired" result.

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Posted By: Peter Parker
Date Posted: 15 July 2009 at 7:13pm
Originally posted by oldsoldier oldsoldier wrote:

Funding of any agenda based research from either side of the issue has credibility issues.


Absolutely true, and an extra skeptical read should always be applied when the conclusions align with funders' interests.

But not all interest-funded research is bad - most of it is good.  Scientists as a rule are actually looking for the truth - that's why they became research scientists.

More importantly, we cannot simply lump all claims of science together as "research."  The IPCC reports are scientific research projects.  What the CEI puts out is NOT science of any kind, but pure propaganda.

I will listen to scientists with a contrary view - in fact, I seek them out - regardless of their funding source.  But propaganda is just that.  It is not new knowledge, or even knowledge at all, but intentional spin.

So yes, consider the source of funding, but most of all consider the nature of the information being presented.


Quote From the actual researchers of the science of climate, who have a agenda based belief and then research and then base thier research results to that end, ignoring any counter research results lead to credibilty issues.


This is a rather extraordinary claim that requires rather extraordinary evidence.  Given the number of people involved in climate research, it would take either a conspiracy of 9/11 proportions, or several scientific specialties populated entirely with unscientific idealogues.

You do not get to casually dismiss decades of scientific research by hundreds or thousands of scientists without very good cause.

Quote Since the 70's we have been promised a return to another Ice Age, to Global Warming destroying civilization as we know it, and a following of researchers that ride whichever agenda bandwagon will fund thier research.


And again, this red herring has been presented.  I already addressed it in this thread, as I address it in every climate thread we have, as it has been addressed in countless forums across the world.  THIS IS NOT TRUE.   NOT TRUE.

A couple of scientists making some predictions based on an unproven hypothesis is NOT the same as a consensus-built and well-proven scientific theory.  It matters not that Time put the cooling guys on their cover - Time is not a scientific publication.  Time is not science.

Yes, cooling got a lot of hype in the 70s, but that's what it was - hype.  There was little science behind it.  Global warming/climate change, on the other hand, has a rather significant amount of science behind it.  They are not the same.

And if you are keeping score at home, this type of argument goes by different names, but it is a variant of "Guilt by Association."  It goes like this:  "Some other scientists were wrong about something else once.  Therefore, I will disregard your scientific evidence as unreliable."

It also is not a very persuasive form of argument.

The bottom line is that science is the most powerful force of knowledge we have, and science has shown undeniable results over millenia.  You don't get to just dismiss science you don't like.


Quote The IceCaps can trace climate changes for several millenium, and the heating cooling cycles are present.


Yes, there are cycles and natural changes in the Earth's climate.  And yes, those are accounted for in the calculations.  The current change we are seeing is beyond any cycle or natural change.

 
Quote ...even observations of Mars show the ice caps growing and then receding in cycles. And there is not a SUV or industrial base to be seen on Mars.


Ah, yes - the Mars warming argument.  Another classic.  Should have included this one on my list from earlier.  The first response is of course the Mars is not Earth.  Two entirely different climates, two entirely different atmospheres.  To pick out one isolated climate effect on Mars and reach general conclusions about climate on Earth is a bit of a stretch.  Moreover, this warming claim is based only on three (Martian) years of data.

Now, I am not aware of any serious evidence AGAINST solar-based global warming on Mars (or Pluto), other than terrestrial solar measurements (which are rather significant), and it certainly goes into the hopper for consideration.

But here's the rub:  We have a whole lot - a big whole lot - of evidence supporting anthropogenic global warming on Earth.  We have a little bit of incomplete fresh data about warming on Mars.  That means that we do NOT throw out the current global warming theory.  Instead, that theory REMAINS the leading and best explanation for current climate phenomena, while we continue to learn more about what is going on on Mars.

GOOD science involves looking at the totality of evidence, not latching on to one piece of favorable evidence, however weak.

Quote All this research and science is all agenda based and the old addage of "follow the money" should give you a clue on the "desired" result.


Indeed.  And have you followed the money?  What did you find?



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Posted By: Darur
Date Posted: 15 July 2009 at 11:47pm
Originally posted by Peter Parker Peter Parker wrote:

That was indeed not what I meant by that statement.  It is not a standalone conclusory claim - rather this is the conclusion based on my research of CEI, some of which is summarized in my posts.

CEI is not to be dismissed solely because they get their funding from Exxon and pals, but that goes in the hopper as well.  The real problem with CEI is the crap they spout.

But more on funding - the funding IS important in this case, because if you look at the "think tanks" putting out anti-global warming propaganda, a disturbingly large number of them are heavily funded by oil, coal, and cars.  One or two is a coincidence - when you keep running into oil money every time you check out a liar, then you start wondering, and suddenly the oil money becomes a taint of its own.

And that is my point with the funding - it isn't just CEI, but a whole of bunch of them.

But the main reason you should dismiss CEI, of course, is because they spout lies.

And another important distinction:  CEI doesn't do research.  Scientific research stands on its own, regardless of who pays the bill.  CEI doesn't do science, they do propaganda.  And when evaluating propaganda, funding is very much an issue.

This is particularly true with groups like CEI.  Look at CEI's funding lists and look at the issues they cover.  The overlap is disturbing.  I am not aware of a single issue covered by CEI where they did not receive substantial funding from an industry group that would benefit from CEI's conclusions.


Ahhh, fair enough, my bad.



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Posted By: StormyKnight
Date Posted: 16 July 2009 at 6:56am
Peter, you should change your name to Alan Shore.

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Posted By: Peter Parker
Date Posted: 16 July 2009 at 1:55pm
Originally posted by StormyKnight StormyKnight wrote:

Peter, you should change your name to Alan Shore.


I had to go look that up, but having done so I am curious - is the comparison based on my stunning good looks or my way with the ladies?




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Posted By: Mack
Date Posted: 16 July 2009 at 1:56pm
Originally posted by Peter Parker Peter Parker wrote:

Originally posted by StormyKnight StormyKnight wrote:

Peter, you should change your name to Alan Shore.


I had to go look that up, but having done so I am curious - is the comparison based on my stunning good looks or my way with the ladies?


Neither, Stormy got confused; he meant Pauly Shore.











I kill me. LOL


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Posted By: StormyKnight
Date Posted: 20 July 2009 at 9:35am
Originally posted by Peter Parker Peter Parker wrote:

Originally posted by StormyKnight StormyKnight wrote:

Peter, you should change your name to Alan Shore.


I had to go look that up, but having done so I am curious - is the comparison based on my stunning good looks or my way with the ladies?
Alan Shore is a liberal lawyer.
 
You're a liberal lawyer.
 
Any other comparisons would be purely coincidental.  You'd really have to watch the last season of The Practice or any episodes of Boston Legal to find them. 


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Posted By: StormyKnight
Date Posted: 20 July 2009 at 9:36am
Originally posted by Mack Mack wrote:

Originally posted by Peter Parker Peter Parker wrote:

Originally posted by StormyKnight StormyKnight wrote:

Peter, you should change your name to Alan Shore.


I had to go look that up, but having done so I am curious - is the comparison based on my stunning good looks or my way with the ladies?


Neither, Stormy got confused; he meant Pauly Shore.











I kill me. LOL
HEHEHEHEHEH.... 


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Posted By: Bolt3
Date Posted: 20 July 2009 at 5:16pm
Originally posted by FreeEnterprise FreeEnterprise wrote:

been busy...

 
Watching our business fall apart from all this government "intervention"... My customers (large corporate, all the way down to small business) are afraid to spend any money as they are terrified to what is happening since Obama took over.
 
We had 31 employees in January. Now we have 23... Unemployment in Ohio is now over 10%... I feel sorry for anyone who is getting out of school and looking for a job...
 
We just installed a $800 anti-back siphen into our plumbing (new law). Which we have to pay $45 a year to have inspected... Taxes on cigs have skyrocketed (guess only guys making $250,000 a year smoke... I didn't know). The tax "rebate" we all got is "income" and you have to pay taxes on it next year...
 
They are contemplating taxing every can of pop $.10... more...
 
And that is not even considering what they want to do to health care... And the fact that my property taxes went up 20% this year... While the auditor lowered the heads of the schools in my area taxes... And they all got healthy raises... superintendents income went from $109,000 to $143,000...
 
So, between researching the local corruption, and sending articles to the papers with the proof, (which they have ignored so far) as well as going to meetings and talking to others about our new PAC, I've been swamped...
 
http://www.stoptsd.com - www.stoptsd.com
 
 
 
 


Many of your concerns and issues seem to be on a local level.

I could be wrong, but I don't think Obama decided to raise a tax on your RC Cola. Or change your plumbing laws just for the lolz.


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Posted By: Peter Parker
Date Posted: 21 July 2009 at 11:48am
Originally posted by StormyKnight StormyKnight wrote:

Alan Shore is a liberal lawyer.
 
You're a liberal lawyer.
 
Ah.  I guess I didn't realize that stopping/delaying the extinction of mankind was a liberal cause.
 
To quote/paraphrase a good man:  "Nature is not a liberal conspiracy."
 
 


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Posted By: oldsoldier
Date Posted: 21 July 2009 at 12:16pm
"The sky is falling, the sky is falling!" is beginning to get old. Global cooling, global warming, climate change....that big heat tab in the sky has more to do with these cycles than man could ever do. And on the day that the sun begins to die and expands to encompass our little world, turning us into a orbiting cinder, a lot of good all this psuedo science will have done "mankind".

Last time I heard from another group of wacks, is armageddon is due 21, Jun 2010 anyway, and thier "scientists" confirm it this time without a doubt.

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Posted By: Peter Parker
Date Posted: 21 July 2009 at 12:22pm
What's getting old is you continuing to bring up bad old arguments.
 
"Some other scientist was wrong about some other thing" is not a good argument against a well-supported theory.
 
This is particularly true and ironic when you follow that statement with a completely unsupported claim of your own:  "that big heat tab in the sky has more to do with these cycles than man could ever do"
 
 
 
(Oh, and armageddon is in 2012, not 2010)


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Posted By: oldsoldier
Date Posted: 21 July 2009 at 12:30pm
Sorry 2012 then, and I am amazed that the Sun has nothing to do with "climate change", and any therory that the sun does effect change is unsupported. My old astronomy professor would also be shocked.

Explain Mars then, polar caps gaining and receding in observed cycles, and only 1 SUV ( an electric/solar powered one at that)on the entire planet (mars rover)

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Posted By: Peter Parker
Date Posted: 21 July 2009 at 12:51pm
Saying that this is unsupported:

Originally posted by oldsoldier oldsoldier wrote:

that big heat tab in the sky has more to do with these cycles than man could ever do.


is not the same as saying this:

Originally posted by oldsoldier oldsoldier wrote:

...the Sun has nothing to do with "climate change", and any therory that the sun does effect change is unsupported. My old astronomy professor would also be shocked.


Obviously the sun is a major factor in our climate and any changes thereto.

But this, as well as your next point:

Quote Explain Mars then, polar caps gaining and receding in observed cycles, and only 1 SUV ( an electric/solar powered one at that)on the entire planet (mars rover)


Tells me that you haven't read the prior posts in this thread, let alone made any efforts to confirm what you read on the conservablogs.

The various scientists researching climate change aren't idiots.  They are in fact aware of the sun.  As a result, they have actually included the sun and its behavior into their calculations.  And even so, man's influence is statistically significant - and more than a little.

As for Mars, it is a tad more complex, but allow me to suggest that data collected over the course of THREE Martian years is not exactly enough data to discuss caps "gaining and receding in cycles."

Would you like to discuss volcanos next?



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Posted By: oldsoldier
Date Posted: 21 July 2009 at 1:12pm
How about 1939-1945 burning down half the planet and no appreciable blip on the climate change meter for that period?

Mt St Helens was a good example of ash/gases amounts thrown into the sky in volumns way beyond the industrial capabilities of the US.

China and India are not considered in the mix, only cap and trade policies on the US economy, which to say has more emmission standards than China and India. But they are "poor" developing nations, hell China now is worth more in economic growth than Japan, now there is an issue.

I still remmeber the black cloud rains coming west from old eastern block ( see communist run industry)industrial emmissions, and not a blip during that period either. Black rain, pitted cars, and eroded stone, and no demand that they stop from the greeners of the period, strange.

Only the US is evil and to be targeted.

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Posted By: Eville
Date Posted: 21 July 2009 at 1:37pm
Funny, I always considered America as a world leader.  I wasn't aware we had to wait on China and India to act before we do.

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Posted By: Peter Parker
Date Posted: 21 July 2009 at 1:37pm
Originally posted by oldsoldier oldsoldier wrote:

How about 1939-1945 burning down half the planet and no appreciable blip on the climate change meter for that period?


Actually, there was an appreciable DOWNWARD dip during the Depression and the War.  I don't have specific data, but this makes sense to me - millions of people walking around shooting at each other instead of working in factories.  It would make an interesting study to see how CO2 emissions from the war compared to emission savings from the war.

But in any event - the point here is that when faced with an apparently contradictory data point, the correct response is NOT to immediately declare "well then, the theory must be wrong."  Instead, the correct response is to look into it further.  In this case, to try to determine how much emitting was actually occurring at that time.

Quote Mt St Helens was a good example of ash/gases amounts thrown into the sky in volumns way beyond the industrial capabilities of the US.


I was actually joking about the volcanos, seeing as how you (and others) keep bringing them up and I keep pointing out how wrong you are.  I am surprised you keep coming back to this.

All it takes is 15 seconds on Google and you will discover that human activity puts out something in the range of 150 times as much greenhouse gas as all global volcanic activity combined.  It's not even close.  Again, further evidence that you just accept the crap you are told without bothering to check.

Volcanic eruptions (including St. Helens) can have significant short-term climate effects (including global COOLING), and can do great harm to the ozone layer, but in terms of greenhouse gases they are not a big deal.  Certainly not compared to the human juggernaut.


Quote China and India are not considered in the mix, only cap and trade policies on the US economy, which to say has more emmission standards than China and India. But they are "poor" developing nations, hell China now is worth more in economic growth than Japan, now there is an issue.

I still remmeber the black cloud rains coming west from old eastern block ( see communist run industry)industrial emmissions, and not a blip during that period either. Black rain, pitted cars, and eroded stone, and no demand that they stop from the greeners of the period, strange.

Only the US is evil and to be targeted.


Another Hannity talking point.  And also false, not to mention silly.

The whole point of Kyoto and similar efforts was specifically to include ALL major emitters, not just the US and Western Europe.  There are countless efforts underway, both private and public, to get China, India, and the rest of the developing world on board with CO2 reduction.  Nobody is ignoring China and India.

This is a giant red herring invented by the haters.

Moreover, it is irrelevant.  Talk about cutting off your nose to spite your face.  So, we aren't going to control emissions just because China and India aren't?  Well, isn't that mature.  I would like to believe that we could lead by example instead of taking our ball to go home and pout.

And lastly, of course - why the major objections?  This is what I just don't understand.  Honest and simple suggestions that will reduce emissions while SAVING YOU MONEY are mocked and ridiculed by the deniers.

When exactly did waste and excess become "family values?"  You and I both, OS, were told by our parents to be less wasteful, not take more than we needed, and put things back the way we found them.  How did our generation(s) become PROUD of being wasteful?

You are always harping about the good old days of your youth.  How about going back to being as conservative (LITERALLY) as we were back then?  How is that a bad thing?  Why should suggestions of waste reduction not only be disregarded, but actively mocked?



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Posted By: agentwhale007
Date Posted: 21 July 2009 at 2:06pm
When I get home and am not posting from a cell phone, I will link one of my columns from a while ago. I wrote about my frustration that the ideas of taking care of the environment has become a political one, and my confusion as to why the conservative base seems to be so anti natural conservation.


Posted By: agentwhale007
Date Posted: 21 July 2009 at 7:08pm
One of my very early stances for the paper. Not a column, as previously stated, rather, a stance.

It is kind of rough around the edges. I was not as good of a writer two years ago:

Caution needs to be taken to keep advances in environmental technology out of the political muck that surrounds the debate on global warming.

Scientists are jumping into the fray alongside politicians from both political parties. Corporations have their fingers in it as well. It seems everyone has a stake in the global warming issue somehow, and one side is just as guilty as the other in bogging down environmental progression.

The issue that is global warming has become a dark pit of political squabbling.

We are in an age when any attempt to truly care or do anything about the environment is almost a sentence of declared war. Someone who talks positively about advancements in green technology now must prepare for a long, drawn out battle of words and wits.

This debate undoubtedly will end in a series of charts demonstrating a whole slew of numbers that appear to be gibberish to anyone without a Ph.D. To counter, just as impressive looking charts can be shown to somehow refute what the first one said.

The entire mess has created quite the Academy Award-wining spectacle.

How fast is the global climate changing? Is this just Earth going through a normal climate cycle, or has human life altered it? What about the polar bears?

These are all very compelling questions, but don't think these questions should change anything. It shouldn't matter what stance any political figure takes on the issue, or what side of the issue a political party speaks about.

It does not matter if someone thinks that Earth will end the day after tomorrow, or that it will last until the sun burns out.

Sustainability of natural resources by moving toward a cleaner society should be the ultimate goal. We should do what we can to improve the quality of our environment now no matter what the current theory on global warming is.

It does not matter which political party you affiliate with, or if you are conservative or liberal. You still breathe the same air either way. The issue of environmental safety should not be used as a political chess piece, as it does nothing but stifle improvement and create apathy.

Luckily, UCF is doing its best to continue working forward.

Updates that can be seen around campus include solar panels for classroom buildings and the green roof for the Student Union. A modified 2007 Toyota Prius with the ability to run completely without gasoline combustion was recently added to UCF's fleet of vehicles. It converts 70 cents worth of electrical power into the equivalent of a gallon of gasoline. Simply plug it in, let it charge and watch it go.

These ideas span the spectrum from being complex; converting a motor vehicle so that it plugs into the wall, to simple; planting a garden on the roof to save in energy costs.

However, these updates all share a common goal of creating a more environmentally friendly campus.

We should try and make our campus as environmentally friendly as we possibly can despite the great debates.

That is exactly what advancements such as solar panels and green roofs do. They are not giant leaps in technology, but they are small steps in which future generations can continue to build off of.

Introducing new environmental advances around campus keeps the movement living and breathing fresh air away from political jargon. What better place to demonstrate such steps than a university filled with students in fields such as engineering, who one day may be making even further inventions.

Steady steps towards making the campus more environmentally friendly will not happen instantly.

But we should continue doing what we can right now, and try hard not to step in muck.




Posted By: oldsoldier
Date Posted: 21 July 2009 at 9:20pm
If and I say if, the financial aspect of this battle was not so convolutted with anti-american industrial sentiment I would not be such as questioned individual. We do lead the world in clean energy technologies, yet the greeners will not allow nuclear to replace coal, and other such alternativesso the answer is?

An example was the Peterbilt Electromotive Class 8 tractor. A small 150hp diesel engine turning an alternator charging batteries powering two electric motors on the rear axles. Physically saw the demo truck at the Walcott Truckers Jamboree. Same technology proven by railroad locomotives for years. Got 26 mpg as compared to the current 5-6 mpg, and the EPA would not allow it on the American highways. Why you ask, the batteries contained too much lithium, not even lead acid batteries, the same lithium batteries that electrocars use, but someone somewhere in the green movement was against the project, the battery boxes were damn near armor boxes, accidents would need to be catistrophic for any leakage. So the project died, yet Mercedes/DeutzeAlles is marketing the same system for european trucks and so far not a problem nor squeak heard from the greeners. Too many examples of good clean energy technology being over-ridden by greeners and certian financial interests, (Al Gore's "carbon credits") and a cap and trade economy subject to more regulation than foriegn markets.

Saw dust toilets, and candles, simply is not a viable alternative.

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Posted By: Peter Parker
Date Posted: 21 July 2009 at 9:36pm
Originally posted by oldsoldier oldsoldier wrote:

If and I say if, the financial aspect of this battle was not so convolutted with anti-american industrial sentiment I would not be such as questioned individual.


Good thing it isn't, then.  It's pretty much a global deal.  Just because Hannity says that it is driven by anti-American sentiments doesn't make it so.

Quote We do lead the world in clean energy technologies


Really?  Which technologies are those?  The biggest wind turbine manufacturers are Danish and German - GE is now a big player also, after they bought up some German technology.

The biggest solar panel manufacturers are Chinese, Japanese, and Korean, with some Europeans thrown in.  Here also GE is a Johnny-come-lately, and has been catching up - by buying foreign companies and technologies.

In both wind and solar a very large proportion of the projects in the US were developed by foreign companies, because Americans couldn't be bothered.  The big shining exception here would be FPL Energy (now NextEra or some crap like that), which is the US leader in both markets.

In geothermal and hydro, the US just lags in general.  Very sad.  Sure, we have the biggest hydro facility in the world (Hoover Dam), but overall we lag.

The US is probably the fastest-growing market at the moment, but only because we have so far to go to catch up.

Liquid biofuels?  Lagging behind Europe again.

On most of the cutting-edge technologies we lag.  Wave, tidal, etc. - mostly European.  An exception here would be algae- and micro-organism-based research.  Here we have a good foothold.

Car mileage?  Here it is just embarrassing. 

Pray tell - in exactly which "clean technology" do we lead the world?

Quote .. yet the greeners will not allow nuclear to replace coal, and other such alternativesso the answer is?


Oh, you meant nuclear?  Well, we certainly don't lead the world there either.  We stopped building nukes in the 70s - the rest of the world didn't.  We have a long way to go to catch up here.

And while I will certainly agree that there has been lots of irrational opposition to nukes, this is changing.  More and more, the environmentalists are coming around.

Quote An example was the Peterbilt Electromotive Class 8 tractor. A small 150hp diesel engine turning an alternator charging batteries powering two electric motors on the rear axles. Physically saw the demo truck at the Walcott Truckers Jamboree. Same technology proven by railroad locomotives for years. Got 26 mpg as compared to the current 5-6 mpg, and the EPA would not allow it on the American highways. Why you ask, the batteries contained too much lithium, not even lead acid batteries, the same lithium batteries that electrocars use, but someone somewhere in the green movement was against the project, the battery boxes were damn near armor boxes, accidents would need to be catistrophic for any leakage. So the project died, yet Mercedes/DeutzeAlles is marketing the same system for european trucks and so far not a problem nor squeak heard from the greeners. Too many examples of good clean energy technology being over-ridden by greeners and certian financial interests, (Al Gore's "carbon credits") and a cap and trade economy subject to more regulation than foriegn markets.


I am not familiar with this particular engine - I will go do some reading.  But your general claim that the "greeners" are somehow keeping themselves down... well it doesn't make any sense.  That, and there is no support for it.  Your own anecdote doesn't even support it.

Quote Saw dust toilets, and candles, simply is not a viable alternative.


Good thing nobody is arguing in favor of that strawman either.




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Posted By: choopie911
Date Posted: 21 July 2009 at 9:43pm
Originally posted by Peter Parker Peter Parker wrote:


Originally posted by oldsoldier oldsoldier wrote:

Saw dust toilets, and candles, simply is not a viable alternative.
Good thing nobody is arguing in favor of that strawman either.



Haha, I laughed at that. Why think in such extremes....


Posted By: agentwhale007
Date Posted: 21 July 2009 at 9:59pm
Originally posted by Peter Parker Peter Parker wrote:


And while I will certainly agree that there has been lots of irrational opposition to nukes, this is changing.  More and more, the environmentalists are coming around.



If I recall correctly, Patrick Moore, one of the founding members of GreenPeace, is one of the former-anti now-pro supporters of nuclear as an alternative energy source.


Posted By: Darur
Date Posted: 21 July 2009 at 11:05pm
I really have only skimmed this thread, so what I am saying may already have been said.

To comment on Whale's post, I agree for the most part. I don't like how muddled in politics the issue has become, and I'm just as guilty as most people for being swayed by that.

The trouble is, climate change was introduced to the general public NOT by scientists, but by political groups.  Al Gore, Greenpeace and everyone else who jumped on the issue instantly made it a political issue.  AIT almost directly said the world is screwed by climate change because Gore lost the election.  Republicans didn't help the issue at all by immediately going on the defensive and questioning the science for political, rather then scientific reasons.  What should  have been a presentation of a potential threat to the current climate snowballed into one side yelling the Conservatives are going to burn down the world for money and the Liberals are lying.

The fact of the matter is the science is still not fully understood.  A lot more research needs to be done and more money should be going in climate change research without this political backdrop.  Fortunetely, that seems to be coming along.  Theres renewed interest in research from industry and with proper funding hopefully we can understand the issue better. Frankly I think Michael Chriction made a few good points in "State of Fear" about how we really need to do more research and understand the enviornment and the issue better before policy is made.

Science should never be made political, and it looks like we are finally starting to get out of the rut politics created.


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Posted By: Peter Parker
Date Posted: 22 July 2009 at 12:41am
Nice column, Whale.  I pretty much agree.  And WTH is a "stance?"  You reporters are weird.
 
Darur, I thoroughly agree with this:  "The trouble is, climate change was introduced to the general public NOT by scientists, but by political groups.  Al Gore, Greenpeace and everyone else who jumped on the issue instantly made it a political issue," and similar points you made.
 
If I seem to imply that only the far right is guilty of the politicization on this matter, that is not my intent, for it is clearly not the case.  I hear all too many hippies jumping for joy because solar power is going to take down the corporations and bring us closer to the Earth, and BTW we should all eat organic foods and live in communes.  I can certainly see how that could get annoying very fast.
 
That said, I am not sure I agree with your assessment of the state of the science.  I am not a scientist myself (in a meaningful sense of the word), and certainly am not in a position to make substantive arguments on climatology, but I have been able to (painstakingly) confirm something important from Gore's movie:  the consensus.  When science develops and theories grow, there is always a frontier.  Research is always being done up and down the line, with people confirming (or poking holes in) old studies, filling in blanks, and so forth - but there is also the frontier, where the actual debate is ongoing, where the scientists can't really come up with conclusive proof.  And the frontier on climate change is NOT on WHETHER there is global warming, or WHETHER there is significant anthopogenic cause.  That was the frontier 15, 20, 30 years ago.  The frontier now is about the tipping point, about climate projections, about fixes, about required reductions, and so forth. 
 
That does NOT mean that nobody is doing research on WHETHER - it just means that this research doesn't cause the great debates anymore, because all the research keeps coming back with the same results.  Hard to have a lively debate when everybody's results come up the same.
 
And this dynamic (ascertainable through a review of abstracts of climatology articles) is pretty convincing.  Gore may have overstated it a tad in his movie (or not, depending on how you count), but I find the evidence overwhelmingly conclusive.  When scientists shift their debate, I pay attention.  Scientists love nothing more than proving their colleagues wrong - when they stop trying it means that they can't.
 
As for Mr. Crighton - I haven't read State of Fear, but you know it is fiction, right?  And Crighton was never shy about playing fast and loose with science in his novels.  See, for instance, ...  heck, all of them.
 
Not having read this particular book, I can't/won't comment specifically, but I do know that several writers have taken issue with Crighton's presentation of climate science in that book.  Here is a randomly chosen one:  http://www.pewclimate.org/state_of_fear.cfm - http://www.pewclimate.org/state_of_fear.cfm
 
 


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"E Pluribus Unum" does not mean "Every man for himself".

Pop Quiz: What do all the Framers of the Constitution have in common?


Posted By: agentwhale007
Date Posted: 22 July 2009 at 1:02am
Originally posted by Peter Parker Peter Parker wrote:

And WTH is a "stance?" 


Written and published by a silent (read, no byline) and collective (using the royal "we,") voice, meant to represent not just the opinions of one writer (If that were so, it would be a column written by a columnist) but rather stating the opinion of the entire staff of the newspaper.

In short, it is declaring the newspaper's stance on something — as an entity.

Even more short = The things on the opinion page with no byline. Where political endorsements and such go.



Posted By: Darur
Date Posted: 22 July 2009 at 1:53am

Friggin accidental refresh . . .

I'm not going to retype it as well as I originally did, but here it goes:

I think you misunderstood me in a few places.

I'm not accusing you of blaming the right for the current state of things, you're much fairer then I am in that respect :)

However, I do think that the general public is sliding towards that mindset, and worse I feel they are also taking the view Gore presented to heart: The sky is falling. Historically, panicking people about a threat, even a confirmed one, does nothing to help. Sadly, I think its a little too late to fix that perception.

I didn't mean to insinuate that the science is faulty, its not. We definitely know a great deal more about climate then we did 50 years ago, or even 5 years ago. Historically, however, whenever we think we know a lot about climate, we discover we know very little. I am saying that much much more research needs to be done on the impact of our involvement, and, more importantly, how our entire ecosystem affects climate. Until we understand how the environment works, we can't begin trying to affect climate change. Even cutting back CO2 emissions could have unforeseen results. Some scientists and historians believe that the Little Ice Age in Europe was due to the lack of Greenhouse gases after the plague (other explanations include sunspots and regional climate patterns, a prime example of how little we understand). We need to invest in understanding how each element in an ecosystem affects each other element, how each ecosystem affects another in each Biome, how each Biome affects each other in the Biosphere, and how the Biosphere and Atmosphere and Sun affect climate. We have a huge amount we have yet to learn, and much much more money needs to go into research in these areas.

My comment on Crichton was undoubtedly misreading if you haven't read the book. In the end is a chapter where Crichton effectively says what I said above, that we need to really invest in understanding the environment and the impact of climate change before we try to fix it. He certainly takes some creative license with the research, and backs up his views with papers whose conclusions say opposite of his, but he does manage to raise some valid points about policy, and highlight some misconceptions about climate science, albeit creating a few more. I would say on the whole, hes only a smidgen more misleading then AIT, but I'm not suggesting it qualifies as something to cite in a debate.



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Posted By: Kayback
Date Posted: 22 July 2009 at 2:34am


Clean energy works.

Not to mention the power requirements of actually building wind turbines, the damage they do to the fauna and the HAZMAT left over from broken solar pannels.

KBK


Posted By: FreeEnterprise
Date Posted: 22 July 2009 at 10:06am
 
 
 


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They tremble at my name...


Posted By: Peter Parker
Date Posted: 22 July 2009 at 10:35am
Originally posted by Darur Darur wrote:

Friggin accidental refresh . . .

 
I hate that.  Reminds me of why KRL always typed his posts in Word and copied.

Quote However, I do think that the general public is sliding towards that mindset, and worse I feel they are also taking the view Gore presented to heart: The sky is falling. Historically, panicking people about a threat, even a confirmed one, does nothing to help. Sadly, I think its a little too late to fix that perception.

I didn't mean to insinuate that the science is faulty, its not. We definitely know a great deal more about climate then we did 50 years ago, or even 5 years ago. Historically, however, whenever we think we know a lot about climate, we discover we know very little. I am saying that much much more research needs to be done on the impact of our involvement, and, more importantly, how our entire ecosystem affects climate. Until we understand how the environment works, we can't begin trying to affect climate change. Even cutting back CO2 emissions could have unforeseen results. Some scientists and historians believe that the Little Ice Age in Europe was due to the lack of Greenhouse gases after the plague (other explanations include sunspots and regional climate patterns, a prime example of how little we understand). We need to invest in understanding how each element in an ecosystem affects each other element, how each ecosystem affects another in each Biome, how each Biome affects each other in the Biosphere, and how the Biosphere and Atmosphere and Sun affect climate. We have a huge amount we have yet to learn, and much much more money needs to go into research in these areas.

 
Re-reading your earlier post I see that I went off the deep end a bit.  I agree wholeheartedly with the above.
 


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"E Pluribus Unum" does not mean "Every man for himself".

Pop Quiz: What do all the Framers of the Constitution have in common?


Posted By: Peter Parker
Date Posted: 22 July 2009 at 10:38am
Originally posted by Kayback Kayback wrote:



Clean energy works.

Not to mention the power requirements of actually building wind turbines, the damage they do to the fauna and the HAZMAT left over from broken solar pannels.

KBK
 
Yep, clean energy does work.  It works very well.
 
But nobody ever said there was no environmental cost (nobody sane, anyway).  Similarly, nobody would ever compare the environmental cost from the occasional busted gearbox in a windmill to the environmental cost of fossil fuels (nobody sane, anyway).
 
And yes, windmills and solar panels have to be built, and there is a cost to that.  They do in fact not appear spontaneously like manna from heaven.  But neither do coal plants.  Apples to apples, there is no comparison.


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"E Pluribus Unum" does not mean "Every man for himself".

Pop Quiz: What do all the Framers of the Constitution have in common?


Posted By: Peter Parker
Date Posted: 22 July 2009 at 10:47am
Originally posted by FreeEnterprise FreeEnterprise wrote:

[false propaganda]
 
Really, FE?  Really?  The Great Global Warming Swindle?  Really? 
 
You must really hate Google.  And Yahoo.  And Bing.  And Lycos.  And the public library. 
 
Seriously - really?


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"E Pluribus Unum" does not mean "Every man for himself".

Pop Quiz: What do all the Framers of the Constitution have in common?


Posted By: FreeEnterprise
Date Posted: 22 July 2009 at 10:54am
http://www.cbsnews.com/blogs/2009/06/26/politics/politicalhotsheet/entry5117890.shtml - http://www.cbsnews.com/blogs/2009/06/26/politics/politicalhotsheet/entry5117890.shtml

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They tremble at my name...


Posted By: Peter Parker
Date Posted: 22 July 2009 at 10:56am
Ok, that's it.  I am not responding to any more FE posts that consist entirely of links.
 
I need some claim of fact, a statement of theory, an argument - something.  I read your linked article, FE, now tell me your point.


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"E Pluribus Unum" does not mean "Every man for himself".

Pop Quiz: What do all the Framers of the Constitution have in common?


Posted By: Benjichang
Date Posted: 22 July 2009 at 10:59am
Originally posted by Peter Parker Peter Parker wrote:

Ok, that's it.  I am not responding to any more FE posts that consist entirely of links.
 
I need some claim of fact, a statement of theory, an argument - something.  I read your linked article, FE, now tell me your point.
AKA, nearly every post.


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irc.esper.net
#paintball


Posted By: FreeEnterprise
Date Posted: 22 July 2009 at 11:42am

http://www.cbsnews.com/blogs/2009/06/26/politics/politicalhotsheet/entry5117890.shtml - http://www.cbsnews.com/blogs/2009/06/26/politics/politicalhotsheet/entry5117890.shtml

 

 

So the "era" of transparency, actually means, "we look at facts that we like". Then ignore all others, while stifling them...

 

I don't bother with "debating" with you peter, as your debates are always the same. I just put out the facts that prove your opinion is so jaded that it is pretty much a religion for you. You have to believe, and anyone who speaks out against it, you claim must be a bumpkin with no intelligence. (really, find a new argument, that one is VERY stale).

 

Originally posted by Peter Parker Peter Parker wrote:

but I find the evidence overwhelmingly conclusive.  When scientists shift their debate, I pay attention.  Scientists love nothing more than proving their colleagues wrong - when they stop trying it means that they can't.

 

 

 

Or it means they are being silenced... As my article that I posted clearly points out. As well as my other links that I posted, also pointing out the "blacklisting" of anyone who speaks out against the "global warming religion/ideology".

 

 

I also find funny your attacks on other groups, because you don’t like them…

 

Originally posted by Peter Parker Peter Parker wrote:

  The real problem with CEI is the crap they spout.

But the main reason you should dismiss CEI, of course, is because they spout lies.

 

Originally posted by Peter Parker Peter Parker wrote:

Originally posted by oldsoldier oldsoldier wrote:

Funding of any agenda based research from either side of the issue has credibility issues.


Absolutely true, and an extra skeptical read should always be applied when the conclusions align with funders' interests.

But not all interest-funded research is bad - most of it is good.  Scientists as a rule are actually looking for the truth - that's why they became research scientists.

More importantly, we cannot simply lump all claims of science together as "research."  The IPCC reports are scientific research projects.  What the CEI puts out is NOT science of any kind, but pure propaganda.

I will listen to scientists with a contrary view - in fact, I seek them out - regardless of their funding source.  But propaganda is just that.  It is not new knowledge, or even knowledge at all, but intentional spin.

So yes, consider the source of funding, but most of all consider the nature of the information being presented.

 

Nice statements, too bad you don’t follow them… If you truly were interested in looking at “science” then you would have a problem with gore spouting off about the 2,500 “scientists” that signed off on his “findings”…

 

When they all don’t actually agree…

 

http://www.sltrib.com/business/ci_12854537 - http://www.sltrib.com/business/ci_12854537

 

I copy pasted the parts of the article that were interesting.

 

Tripp, a member of the IPCC since 2004, is listed as one of 450 IPCC "lead authors"

"It shows what the IPCC touts as a consensus is less than a consensus. Even within that group not everyone is in total agreement,"

He said there is so much of a natural variability in weather it makes it difficult to come to a scientifically valid conclusion that global warming is man made. "It well may be, but we're not scientifically there yet."

He also criticized modeling schemes to evaluate global warming, but stopped short of commenting on climate modeling used by the IPCC, saying "I don't have the expertise."

But meteorologist Thomas Reichler did just that. He was involved in a University of Utah study that the IPCC models "are quite accurate and can be valuable tools for those seeking solutions on reversing global warming trends."

Neal Briggs, who farms nearly 300 acres in Syracuse, said he's comfortable that the Farm Bureau presents only one side of the climate debate because "the science behind it isn't sound. From what I've researched, we are not a large contributor to global warming."

 

 

Facts are, IPCC is representing government funded sciences, and based on your so called “skepticism” of following the money… Seems like you would be less likely to follow their “biased” science that is now wanting to tax us at a higher rate to pay for supposed “harm” that we caused… Which hasn’t been proven…

 



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They tremble at my name...


Posted By: FreeEnterprise
Date Posted: 22 July 2009 at 11:46am
Oh, and don't read this... It will hurt the 2,500 number that is "fact" in our media...
 
http://climaterealist.blogspot.com/2008/09/ipcc-2500-scientists-myth.html - http://climaterealist.blogspot.com/2008/09/ipcc-2500-scientists-myth.html


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They tremble at my name...


Posted By: usafpilot07
Date Posted: 22 July 2009 at 11:59am
Personally, I love global warming.  I hate snow, and I live in the mountains, global warming needs to speed it's ass up.  I start off every day the same way;  I wake up in the morning, grab two cans of hairspray, and spray them maliciously into the Ozone layer. 

Sometimes I leave my car running all day out in the drive way too.


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Buffalo buffalo Buffalo buffalo buffalo buffalo Buffalo buffalo



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